Category: Choppers

  • Bold New Faces

    Jackalope outfielder Yasiel Puig

    Baseball is supposed to be fun.  The first few players taken in the DTBL Draft all seem to understand that.  Besides their prodigious talent, what these guys have in common is a youthful exuberance that occasionally rubs their opponents, and sometimes even their teammates, the wrong way.  But only a curmudgeon who insists that the unwritten rules of the game be followed to a T wouldn’t enjoy watching these guys play.  And when it comes to fantasy baseball, you definitely want them on your team.

    The 22nd Annual DTBL Draft kicked off Wednesday morning.  Almost exactly 24 hours later, the first round was complete.  The round featured as strong of a set of young talent as we’ve seen in quite some time.  Perhaps there have been stronger drafts at the very top spot or two, but the number of young superstars taken in this draft so far has been quite impressive, and should keep the draft entertaining for several more rounds.

    The Jackalope kicked things off by selecting the Cuban phenom, outfielder Yasiel Puig.  Yes, Puig Mania has made its way to the DTBL.  It took Puig all of about a week after making his MLB debut last summer before he became the talk of the league.  From the monster home runs, mind-boggling throws and blazing sprints around the bases, Puig proved himself to be the definition of a five tool player.  Sure, some of those tools are easier to harness than others.  But there is nothing he can’t do on a baseball field.  Really, the only thing that kept him from being a complete no-brainer with the first overall pick was the Jackalope’s already full outfield and perhaps a small worry about a second year flame-out.  But the decision to take Puig couldn’t have been too difficult.  In just four months in the big leagues, he hit .319 with 19 home runs and 11 stolen bases.  Most years, he would have been an absolute lock for Rookie of the Year with those numbers, but we’ll get to why that was not the case in a bit.  The sky is the limit for this guy.

    With the second pick, the Gators took another young phenom outfielder in Wil Myers.  Prior to last season, he was traded from Kansas City to Tampa Bay before making his big league debut, a very rare occurrence for such a highly touted prospect.  Once he got the call to Tampa, he did not disappoint.  He slugged 13 home runs in 335 MLB at bats on his way to winning the AL Rookie of the Year award.  Myers is probably the biggest power prospect in this draft.  He doesn’t have Puig’s speed or flare, but he already looks the part as a middle of the order power hitter.  He will join a Gators offense which has gone through a remarkable makeover the past two years.  He joins Yoenis Cespedes, Starling Marte and Leonys Martin in a very exciting and young Gators outfield.

    Trivia question:  which team finished second to the Kings in batting points last year.  Unless your name is Dom, you probably didn’t know the answer is the Demigods.  Only a truly dreadful pitching staff relegated them to an eighth place finish rather than being a title contender.  But was their pitching staff really that bad, or just a bit unlucky?  Well, Johnny Cueto missed a majority of the season with an injury.  Cole Hamels only won eight games despite excellent peripheral numbers.  Doug Fister was his usual solid, underrated self.  And Yu Darvish was one of the best pitchers in baseball.  Enter the third pick in the draft, Jose Fernandez.  For the second straight year, the Demigods acquired the best strikeout pitcher in the draft with their first pick (Darvish last year).  Fernandez had an absolutely phenomenal rookie campaign for the Marlins.  12 wins, a sub 1.0 WHIP, 2.19 ERA and 187 strike outs.  He beat out Puig to win the NL Rookie of the Year award.  The addition of Fernandez could turn the Demigods league worst pitching staff into one of the best.  I know there is a long way to go in this draft, but if you are looking for a sleeper team this year, the Demigods would be a solid bet.

    Here are three awesome GIFs of the top three draft choices enjoying their home runs… yes, including the pitcher Fernandez.  Wait, Puig’s was actually a triple, which makes it even better.  Which one is your favorite?

    The fun didn’t end with the first three picks though.  With the fourth pick, the Moonshiners elected to go with the best available player, third baseman Josh Donaldson.  Last year, Donaldson pretty much came out of nowhere to become a MVP candidate, or at least he would have been if we lived in a world where Miguel Cabrera and Mike Trout didn’t exist.  He hit .301 with 24 home runs and 93 RBI.  Although he figured to be an early draft pick, the Moonshiners are a bit of a surprise suitor since they already have David Wright and Kyle Seager at the hot corner.  But all of them figure to be on their Opening Day roster.  Donaldson should provide a solid boost to a strong core of Moonshiners hitters.

    With the fifth pick, the Darkhorses went even younger, taking 21 year old third baseman Xander Bogaerts (he’s a couple months younger than Fernandez).  2013 was quite a year for Bogaerts.  He progressed from highly touted AA prospect, to MLB utility player, to World Series starting third baseman.  Bogaerts is considered an elite prospect because of his bat and his glove.  The former makes him an attractive fantasy prospect as well, especially since he will likely shift over to shortstop next year.  This is the kind of pick that is becoming the norm in the first round of DTBL drafts.  Highly ranked prospects don’t stay on the board very long, no matter how little experience the player has.

    The Cougars were the only team to pick a non-DTBL rookie in the first round.  They selected outfielder Domonic Brown with the sixth pick.  Despite only being 26 himself, Brown is actually three years removed from his one year of DTBL experience.  He was a disappointment in that year with the Demigods and was starting to look like a bust of a former big time prospect until his breakout 2013 season.  He slugged 27 home runs with 83 RBI for the Phillies.  In the previous three seasons, he hit just 12 homers while bouncing up and down between MLB and AAA.  But now he appears to be here to stay and should give the Cougars a solid power boost in their outfield.

    There was no first round pick with a wider boom-to-bust potential than the Naturals selection of speedy outfielder Billy Hamilton with the seventh pick.  Either Hamilton is going to win stolen bases for the Naturals by himself by being an every day top of the order hitter, or he is going to be too much of a liability with the bat that the Reds will use him almost exclusively as a pinch runner or send him back to the minors.  There’s almost no in between for him.  But if there is a team that can afford to take this gamble, it is the Naturals.  They have guys like Miguel Cabrera, Joey Votto, Andrew McCutchen and Troy Tulowitzki who will pretty much assure them of finishing high in the power categories, allowing them to play a one dimensional player.  But that one dimension could be unlike anything this league has ever seen.  Hamilton has stolen over 85 bases in each of his three full professional seasons and stole 13 bases in his first 13 major league games (with just 22 plate appearances!)  This is going to be fun to watch.

    With the eighth pick, the Choppers selected second baseman Matt Carpenter.  He was sort of the NL version of Donaldson, suddenly breaking out of nowhere to become a MVP candidate.  He hit .318 and led all of baseball in hits (199), runs scored (124) and doubles (55).  He doesn’t have great power or speed, but his high extra base totals led to plenty of RBI as well (78), making him an elite three category player.  If some of those doubles start going over the wall, his value could soar even more.  The Choppers were the surprise team of ’13 and appear primed to make a serious run at the title this year.  Carpenter should help them in that endeavor.

    The first round ended with two more young pitchers going off the board.  The Mavericks grabbed Gerrit Cole with the ninth pick.  The first overall pick of the 2011 amateur draft, Cole reached the big leagues for the Pirates last summer and pitched extremely well.  In fact, he only got better as the season progressed.  Some were a little concerned by his mediocre strike out rate in AAA, but he was actually more effective in that regard in the majors.  And throwing his fastball in the high 90’s, it is hard to imagine him not continuing that trend this season.  This year, he will try to replace Matt Harvey as best he can for the Mavericks.  But in 2015, a rotation of Harvey, Cole, Clayton Kershaw, Stephen Strasburg and Mat Latos almost sounds unfair to the rest of the league.

    Finally, the Kings concluded the first round by taking pitcher Shelby Miller.  For the first few months of the year, Miller was one of the best pitchers in baseball and appeared well on his way to the NL Rookie of the Year award until Fernandez and Puig burst onto the scene and stole his thunder.  Miller faded a bit in the second half and then was almost unheard from in October for the Cardinals.  But that was probably the result of going well past his previous career high in innings and maybe the Cardinals being a little cautious as well.  If he can put together a full season that resembles the first half of 2013, he will quickly become one of the league’s elite pitchers.

    For the first time in six years, no first round picks were traded.  On a related note, it was the first year in quite some time that the Mavericks didn’t make multiple first round selections.  But there was one trade completed during the round.  The Kings dealt second baseman Ben Zobrist to the Gators for outfielder Michael Cuddyer.  This was a trade of excess pieces for both teams.  After drafting Myers, the Gators had six outfielders on their roster while the Kings had four middle infield keepers.  So this trade made sense for both sides to fill other needs.  Zobrist has bounced between several positions in recent years, but has returned to the infield this year where he is much more valuable.  He will provide the Gators with solid power and speed at a very thin position.  Meanwhile, Cuddyer returns to the Kings squad that drafted and then cut him just a couple years ago.  Cuddyer is coming off the best year of his career, hitting .331 with 20 home runs in 2013.

    The first round was certainly a lot of fun.  Let’s see what the rest of the draft brings us.

  • Best of the Rest

    Choppers relief pitcher Craig Kimbrel

    Through most of the 2013 DTBL season, there was a fairly obvious line of demarcation between the contenders and the also-rans.  Four teams had legitimate title aspirations most of the season, while the other six were left to build for the future.  The Mavericks, Choppers and Naturals were not able to win the league, but to varying degrees, 2013 was a good season for them.

    For the second consecutive year, the Mavericks missed winning the league championship by a single point.  And the similarities between 2012 and 2013 don’t end there for the Mavericks.  Just like 2012, they were the best team in the league in the second half of the season and possibly would have won both years if the season was a week longer.  They erased the Kings double digit lead and briefly took over first place at the end of August.  But injuries to key players down the stretch eventually did them in.  A couple of those injuries could have a lingering effect on their 2014 campaign as well.  They had to finish the season without the services of three of their best players:  Matt Harvey, Manny Machado and Edwin Encarnacion.  Since the season ended, the news hasn’t gotten any better regarding Harvey and Machado.  Harvey eventually succumbed to Tommy John surgery and probably will not pitch next year.  Machado underwent knee surgery that may not have him back in time for Opening Day.  Encarnacion’s injury was less serious, but couldn’t have come at a worse time.  He led the Mavericks in home runs and, at the time of the injury, was also the club leader in RBI.

    Although they didn’t win the title, the 2013 Mavericks can lay claim to a couple impressive distinctions, arguably including the greatest pitching staff in league history.  They broke the league record for lowest team ERA and WHIP.  Their 2.63 club ERA smashed the record previously held by the 2011 Jackalope (2.83).  In WHIP, they also bested the ’11 Jackalope mark 1.05 to 1.12.  They were well on their way to breaking the strikeout record as well before the Harvey injury, but wound up falling nine strikeouts short of the total by the 2007 Mavericks.  It is hard to imagine another team besting those team ERA and WHIP totals anytime soon.  Harvey, Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg helped make up one of the most dominating rotations ever assembled.  Kershaw and Harvey finished 1-2 in both ERA and WHIP.  The offense wound up being a bit of a disappointment though, and ultimately was the reason they didn’t win the league.  They will look to improve that group next year, particularly since it seems unlikely they will be able to duplicate this pitching performance.

    Besides the Kings, the Choppers were probably the team most pleased with their 2013 season.  They finished the season in third place, a height in which they had not reached since 2001.  In fact, this is the first time they have finished in the top half of the standings since 2006.  This was no fluke.  They made significant improvements to their offense, and especially their pitching, to finish just nine points out of first place.

    The Choppers led the league in home runs, RBI and saves.  The saves title was extremely interesting since they spent a good portion of the year with a starting pitcher occupying one of their bullpen slots (Alexi Ogando).  But Craig Kimbrel and Mariano Rivera more than made up for that.  Their rotation was sneaky good as well.  None of these guys got serious Cy Young hype, but Chris Sale, C.J. Wilson, Clay Buchholz, Jon Lester and Jarrod Parker all had outstanding seasons.  The staff accumulated 37 pitching points, only exceeded by the record breaking Mavericks.  The Choppers offense wasn’t too shabby either.  Finishing on top of the league in HR and RBI was a true team effort.  Seven different Choppers hit at least 20 home runs while eight guys had 70+ RBI.  Pedro Alvarez led the team in both categories (36, 100), and he was nearly matched by Mark Trumbo (34, 100).  Also, Jayson Werth was one of the best hitters in the league in the second half of the season.  This was a huge stepping stone season for the Choppers.  They should enter 2014 as one of the top title contenders.

    It is almost always a disappointment for a defending champion when they are unable to successfully defend that title.  So the Naturals probably won’t remember this season fondly.  However, this year’s squad really wasn’t that much worse than the team that won it all in dramatic fashion a year ago.  In 2012, the Naturals won the league with 70.5 points.  This year, they only dropped a handful of points down to 66, but that put them in a distant fourth place.  Their offense actually earned them more points than a year ago.  But because of the emergence of a few other teams’ pitching staffs, the Naturals took a bit of a dive.

    Just like last year, the Naturals offense was carried by strong MVP candidate Miguel Cabrera.  Cabrera led the league in batting average and finished second behind Chris Davis in both home runs and runs batted in.  Interestingly enough, it was batting average that kept him from winning the DTBL triple crown a year ago, a feat he did accomplish in the American League in ’12.  Andrew McCutchen further entrenched himself as one of the game’s best hitters this year too.  But besides those two players, the Naturals lacked that third dominating player they needed to make a serious title run.  As mentioned, the pitching staff took a hit this year.  Matt Cain was the biggest disappointment.  Mid-season injuries to Zack Greinke and David Price proved costly as well.  The Naturals most consistent pitcher from start to finish this year was the under-appreciated Jordan Zimmermann who finished second in the league with 19 wins.  The Naturals don’t need to do much to return to the top next year.  Perhaps they will focus on building depth in case they face another injury plagued season in 2014.

    The final part of my 2013 season review will examine the six teams who were not serious title contenders this year.  Look for that sometime late next week.  I hope you have been enjoying these baseball playoffs.  It has been one of the most exciting Octobers I can recall, with nearly every game coming down to the final pitches.  Let’s hope for more of the same the next couple weeks!

  • The Stretch Run

    Choppers outfielder Jayson Werth

    I’m not sure we will ever see a final week of a baseball season quite like last year’s when five teams had a great chance to win the DTBL title right up to the last few pitches of the season.  So compared to that, this year’s pennant race may seem a little boring.  But for the four teams who have found themselves near the top of the standings most of the year, there is plenty of drama left in this season.

    Let’s start with the team that came out of last year’s wild finish with the title.  The Naturals haven’t quite been able to replicate last year’s success.  They currently sit in fourth place, 11 points behind the leader.  I’ll be honest, it doesn’t appear that they will be able to successfully defend their title.  They just have too much ground to make up and too many teams to catch.  The only case you could make for them to win this thing would be to put up an obscene stat line in the last week combined with a collapse from the three teams above.  Part of the Naturals problem has been that the player they depend on the most, Miguel Cabrera, has been severely limited by injuries over the last month or so.  Without his typical mashing, the Naturals offense just hasn’t been that strong.  Also, the September injury to Allen Craig couldn’t have come at a worse time with nobody capable of replacing him.  Their pitching has actually been very good of late, recently passing the Kings in both ERA and WHIP.  However, I just don’t see enough categories where gaining additional points is possible to give them a realistic shot at winning this thing.

    The case for the Choppers winning the league is much stronger.  The surprise team of the year, the Choppers have been on fire of late.  Their surprising pitching staff is now second in the league in pitching points, leading the way in saves and an impressive second place in ERA.  Chris Sale has been a beast all year, despite the unfortunately low win total.  C.J. Wilson is quietly having an outstanding year as well.  The Choppers offense has been slugging their way up the standings too.  It appears they will finish the season on top of the home run and RBI categories.  If there were such a thing as second half MVP, Jayson Werth would be a strong candidate for it.  Their key injury is to Jose Baustista, but his loss hasn’t really hurt their offense at all.  The Choppers opportunities to pick up points are limited, but average and runs are the two to watch, especially since the teams they are chasing in those categories are the two ahead of them in the overall standings.  They definitely need the Kings and Mavericks to drop a couple points this week, but that is very possible.  Assuming they hang onto a top 3 spot, this will be their best finish since 2001.  But they still have higher aspirations than just that.

    The Kings have been the title favorites for a while now.  They have topped the standings most of the season.  On occasion during the middle of the summer, it looked like they might run away with the title as they frequently held a double digit point lead.  But now they are hanging on for dear life.  They actually gave up the lead for a few days near the end of August.  But a couple strong weeks since have boosted them back to the lead.  The moment when things started turning south for the Kings is easy to identify:  when their best player, Carlos Gonzalez, suffered his finger injury in early July.  The Kings have had to move on without him for virtually the entire second half of the season.  But fortunately for them, they have found a few guys to pick up the slack on offense down the stretch, led by Ryan Zimmerman.  The recent concern has been with the previously solid pitching staff.  In the last week, they coughed up several points in ERA and WHIP.  Barring a terrible last week, they should be safe from losing more points in most pitching categories though.  Their vulnerability comes in two key categories:  runs scored (currently 1st) and stolen bases (4th).  If they can hold off the Choppers and/or Mavericks in those categories, they should be able to claim their fifth DTBL championship.  That is hardly a sure thing at this point though.

    I saved the Mavericks for last because I have a little more to say about them.  There were two big stories involving the Mavericks in August which deserved their own articles, but I had a few hectic weeks around that time and wasn’t able to make the time to write about them.  First, the Mavericks and Jackalope pulled off a major deadline trade.  The Mavs sent shortstop Jurickson Profar, first baseman Eric Hosmer and their third round pick in 2014 to the Jackalope for shortstop Elvis Andrus, second baseman Daniel Murphy, relief pitcher Steve Cishek and a fifth round draft pick.  The most fascinating thing about this trade is that the two key players in the deal, Andrus and Profar, have had their careers so tightly tied to one another the last couple years.  Profar was widely considered the top prospect in baseball entering this season.  The problem is, he is a shortstop for the Rangers, who happen to already have a pretty good shortstop by the name of Andrus.  Profar has spent the entire season on the MLB roster, but has been a part time player, seriously hampering his fantasy value.  But the Jackalope weren’t too worried about that considering this season was already a lost cause for them anyway.  Expect the Rangers to fix this log jam in the winter, especially if they wind up missing the playoffs which now appears quite possible.  Andrus and Profar should both be everyday players by next spring.  The Jackalope also received an intriguing player in Hosmer, who is finally starting to show some of that potential that hasn’t been seen since his rookie year.  This trade makes all the sense in the world for the Jackalope, acquiring two keepers for one as they begin their rebuild.  Likewise, the Mavericks made a major upgrade at their weakest spot:  middle infield.  Cishek has given them a boost in the bullpen, which is now one of the league’s best to go along with their unbeatable rotation.  I’m already declaring this trade a win/win for both sides.

    The other piece of Mavericks news in late August was not nearly as positive.  Phenom pitcher Matt Harvey was diagnosed with a partially torn UCL in his elbow.  Usually, this leads to Tommy John surgery, but as of now it appears Harvey will try to rest and rehab without surgery.  This will be a huge story next spring, because if he does succumb to surgery, that would obviously be a huge blow to the Mavericks for 2014.  But as for this season, the injury has not had a major impact because the Mavericks had/have such an enormous lead in the three categories where Harvey provided the most value:  ERA, WHIP and strike outs.  If the Mavericks don’t win the title, it won’t be because Harvey got hurt.  But this story clearly put a bit of a damper on their championship hunt.

    The Mavericks are definitely the team with the best chance of catching the Kings in the final week.  I can’t really put a probability figure on it, but I think they have a great chance.  The Kings have been very vulnerable for a couple months now and have anything but a safe lead in a couple key categories, as described above.  The Mavericks need a big week from their offense though.  Like all of the other title contenders, the Mavericks are going down the stretch without one of their best offensive players.  Team home run leader Edwin Encarnacion had season ending wrist surgery just last week.  But the Mavericks have likely maxed out in the power categories anyway.  Batting average, runs scored and stolen bases are the key.  And they just happen to have the best player in baseball when it comes to contributing to all three of those categories:  Mike Trout.  Just like last season, Trout is finishing this campaign on fire.  He will attempt to carry most of the load for the Mavs in the final week.  His heroic effort down the stretch last season came up just short.  Perhaps this year will be different.

    So we have four teams vying for the title.  It should be a fun week.  Unfortunately, if the title comes down to the final day like it did last season, I won’t be able to do another live blog/tweet event because I will be spending most of Sunday behind the wheel driving back from South Bend.  So you will be on your own to figure out what’s going on.  The live stats should make that much easier to do this year though, if you are so inclined.  Good luck to the championship contenders!

  • 2013 Season Preview: Part II

    Cougars pitcher Gio Gonzalez

    Last year concluded with a frantic five team race for the title on the final day of the season.  But just two months prior to that, there were as many as seven teams right in the hunt for the championship.  I’m not saying that will happen again this year, but there is precedent for all of the following teams to be championship contenders, even if they don’t significantly exceed their projections.  These are the teams that are projected to finish seventh up to fifth place.  Actually, the computed standings had two teams tied for sixth place, so I will just review them alphabetically.

    Charlie’s Thunder Choppers

    Category – Projected Rank (2012 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 10th (6th)
    • Home Runs – 3rd (3rd)
    • Runs Batted In – 7th (8th-T)
    • Runs Scored – 8th (6th)
    • Stolen Bases – 7th (6th)
    • Earned Run Average – 6th (7th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 10th (7th)
    • Wins – 5th (6th)
    • Saves – 2nd (5th-T)
    • Strike Outs – 3rd (4th)
    • Total Batting Points – 8th-T (6th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 5th (7th-T)
    • Total Points – 6th-T (6th)

    Summary:

    The Choppers are another team that could be expected to exceed their pitching projections.  For the second straight year, they might choose to use a sixth starting pitcher in a RP slot (Alexi Ogando).  Ogando isn’t likely to repeat Chris Sale’s ’12 season, but he could give the Choppers a nice win and strike out boost.  But they also have four closers on the roster, so they won’t be punting saves by any means.  Sale is their only elite starting pitcher, but they have a lot of intriguing guys who are capable of racking up strike outs, in particular.  On offense, it appears home runs will be their strength again this year.  Newcomer Anthony Rizzo will attempt to pick up the slack early on while Curtis Granderson is on the shelf.  Jose Bautista needs to stay healthy this year.  B.J. Upton appears to be primed for a huge season, in which case he could give the Choppers a boost in power and speed categories.  It has been a while since the Choppers were a serious title contender, but they will have a chance this year if their starting pitching pans out.

    Mike’s Moonshiners

    Category – Projected Rank (2012 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 6th (1st)
    • Home Runs – 6th (7th)
    • Runs Batted In – 4th (3rd)
    • Runs Scored – 4th (3rd)
    • Stolen Bases – 8th (5th)
    • Earned Run Average – 5th (2nd)
    • WHIP Ratio – 6th (6th)
    • Wins –  7th (2nd)
    • Saves – 7th (4th)
    • Strike Outs – 8th (8th)
    • Total Batting Points – 6th (3rd)
    • Total Pitching Points – 8th-T (3rd)
    • Total Points – 6th-T (4th)

    Summary:

    And here we have our first appearance from one of the “Big 5” who chased the title on the final day of the season.  This might be the most surprising projection of all.  Let’s not forget that the Moonshiners came within 1 1/2 points of winning the title last year and were the league’s most balanced team.  They were the only team to accumulate over 30 batting and pitching points.  So why the gloomy forecast for this season?  Well, they only had one draft pick in the first three rounds this year, so they didn’t have an opportunity to significantly pad their projections with one or two acquisitions.  But that doesn’t mean this team won’t contend.  The biggest key is for R.A. Dickey to not take an enormous step backwards like he is projected to do.  Dickey, Jered Weaver and Yovani Gallardo lead the rotation that will be a bit thin until Brandon Beachy returns from Tommy John surgery.  The bullpen only has two definite closers, but first round pick Fernando Rodney is good enough to make sure they aren’t buried in saves.  They have solid players across the board on offense, so I just don’t see them finishing in the bottom half of the league in batting points.  Prince Fielder, David Wright and Desmond Jennings are three players who I expect to easily exceed their projected numbers.  I strongly believe the Moonshiners will contend for their first DTBL title again this year.

    Kelly’s Cougars

    Category – Projected Rank (2012 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 7th (10th)
    • Home Runs – 4th (9th)
    • Runs Batted In – 5th (8th-T)
    • Runs Scored – 9th (9th)
    • Stolen Bases – 10th (3rd)
    • Earned Run Average – 3rd (5th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 5th (4th)
    • Wins –  1st (1st)
    • Saves – 6th (9th)
    • Strike Outs – 6th (7th)
    • Total Batting Points – 8th-T (9th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 2nd (5th)
    • Total Points – 5th (8th)

    Summary:

    Now here is a real sleeper candidate.  The Cougars have not finished in the top half of the league since 2004.  But this definitely looks like a team that is capable of making a big leap forward.  The most interesting thing in these projections is the Cougars shift from a speed to a power team.  In light of some spring training injuries, I think fourth in home runs is a little unrealistic, but they certainly do have more power on the roster.  They will need to overcome early injuries to Mark Teixeira and Brett Lawrie though.  Assuming he isn’t out too long, expect a big bounce-back season from Lawrie to help justify his status as the #1 pick in last year’s draft.  The pitching staff is very good.  I don’t think it is possible for Kris Medlen to repeat his performance as a starter last year, but he won’t need to.  Gio Gonzalez, Madison Bumgarner and Adam Wainwright join Medlen as four legitimate aces.  5th place may seem like an awfully optimistic prediction for this team, but I think it is quite possible they will finally make their return to the top half of the standings.

    I didn’t get around to doing any previews yesterday, so I’m a day behind schedule.  My new goal is two more teams tomorrow (Tuesday) and then the top two championship contenders (according to the projections) on Wednesday.  I hope you are enjoying the first full day of baseball!

  • No Clowning Around

    Darkhorses outfielder Bryce Harper

    Who should the Darkhorses have picked with the first selection in the 2013 DTBL Draft?  That’s a clown question, bro.  With one of the clearest cut decisions in recent memory, the Darkhorses selected 20 year old outfielder Bryce Harper.  The Nationals young phenom burst onto the scene last summer at the ripe age of 19 and proceeded to win the National League Rookie of the Year award.  He bounced back from a mid-summer slump to tear the league apart on his way to a .270 average with 22 home runs and 18 stolen bases.  The home run total was the second most by a teenager in MLB history.

    A year after most of the league made the mistake of allowing Mike Trout to slip to the second round, the Darkhorses ensured that the same wouldn’t happen this time around.  Of course, Harper has much higher expectations heading into this season than Trout did a year ago since he has a roster spot locked up and is even expected to hit third in the lineup for one of the top World Series contenders.  Although both are legitimate five tool players, Harper does have a slightly different skill set than Trout.  Harper is projected to be the bigger power threat while Trout has unmatched speed on the bases and in the outfield.  The sky is the limit for Harper, and his bust potential seems extremely low.

    Harper is only the second player to become a first overall selection in both the MLB and DTBL drafts.  Alex Rodriguez is the other, which makes it interesting that Harper is entering the league at the exact same time as ARod’s 16 year career with the Kings is coming to an end.  I’m sure the Darkhorses would be happy to get at least a decade and a half of service out of Harper.  I’m 99% positive that Harper was the youngest player to ever be drafted by a DTBL team in the first round (maybe any round), an honor he held for less than 24 hours (more on that later).  The Darkhorses are looking to bounce back from two straight disappointing, injury-riddled seasons.  Harper has the potential to quickly accelerate the rebuilding process, much like Trout did for the Mavericks a year ago.

    Last year, the Gators had the tall order of trying to rebuild without the benefit of a first or second round pick.  This year, they held onto those picks and wisely used them to pick up a few of the best young players in the draft.  With the second overall pick, they selected Cuban outfielder Yoenis Cespedes who made an immediate impact in his first big league season, hitting several prodigious home runs early in the season.  He somewhat quietly proceeded to have an outstanding season that surely would have earned him a Rookie of the Year nod if it weren’t for some guy named Trout.  Cespedes slugged 23 home runs with 82 RBI and 16 steals.  Like Harper, he has big time power potential with the ability to add a bunch of stolen bases too.

    If Kris Medlen can come anywhere close to matching his 2012 numbers, the Cougars might suddenly have one of the league’s top pitching staffs.  Medlen, a Tommy John surgery survivor, started last season in the bullpen, but then became nearly unhittable after moving into the rotation.  He won 10 games with a miniscule 1.57 ERA and a sub 1.00 WHIP.  The Cougars selected him with the third pick in the draft.  The Demigods then followed with another starting pitcher, Yu Darvish.  Along with Cespedes, Darvish was the other key foreign import to the big leagues last season.  He displayed overpowering stuff, striking out 221 hitters in just 190 innings.  He should help the Demigods recover from a season that was largely derailed by a shaky pitching staff.  The Choppers took the Cubs young first baseman, Anthony Rizzo, with the fifth pick.  Rizzo had been a highly touted prospect for a number of years, before finally breaking through with a solid season for his third MLB organization.  Rizzo figures to be a centerpiece in the Cubs lineup for some time to come.

    For the most part, the top five picks were fairly clear cut.  I know those five players were the top five on my draft board, and I suspect I’m not alone.  But I felt there was a significant drop-off in available talent after those five.  Which was kind of fitting because the next five teams all came within an eyelash of winning the championship last year anyway.

    For the second straight year, the Jackalope were the first team to select a non-DTBL rookie.  With the sixth pick, they took second baseman Danny Espinosa, who spent the last two seasons with the Kings.  Espinosa spent almost the entire ’12 season on the Kings bench, but only because he was at a log jammed position.  He actually had a very solid year and provides significant power and speed for a middle infielder.  He seems to be getting better each year too.  Next, the Moonshiners selected closer Fernando Rodney, the obvious #1 relief pitcher on the board.  Rodney re-emerged as an elite closer for the Rays, saving 48 games with a ridiculous 0.60 ERA.  Seventh is the earliest a relief pitcher has been selected since 2010.  But the Moonshiners were in desperate need of a second closer and only had two picks in the first rounds with which to acquire one.

    For the fourth straight years, the Mavericks had multiple first round picks.  This time, they didn’t acquire the second one until just before they were on the clock with the eighth pick.  They dealt one member of their stable of first basemen, Ike Davis, to the Kings for the ninth overall pick.  So with two consecutive picks, the Mavericks did what has become their trademark:  they selected two young prospects, second baseman Jurickson Profar and third baseman Manny Machado.  Both have big upside, but Machado figures to make a more immediate impact since Profar is temporarily without a position in Texas, behind Elvis Andrus and Ian Kinsler.  Of course, this is a similar situation that Mike Trout was in a year ago.  Profar just turned 20 a few weeks ago, which is notable for a couple reasons.  First, I believe it makes him the youngest player in DTBL history (he’s a few months younger than Harper).  Next, he is the first DTBL player to have been born after the inaugural DTBL Draft in January of 1993.  So he’s actually younger than this league!  (Damn, we’re getting old)

    For the second straight year, the Kings used the first round to try to fill their gaping hole at first base.  But this time, they did so by trading their pick for Ike Davis.  Davis got off to a horrific start in 2012, due in part to his slow recovery from valley fever, which he contracted during spring training.  But he rebounded in the second half of the season and turned into one of the leading home run hitters after the break.  He finished the season with 32 bombs.  Finally, the Naturals used the last pick of the first round to re-acquire catcher Victor Martinez.  Martinez missed all of last season recovering from a torn ACL suffered over the previous winter.  The Naturals were clearly reluctant to let him go after holding him on the roster for the entire season.  However, when the opportunity came to pick him up again, they jumped all over it.  Although his catching days may be over, he will likely produce stellar numbers at a position that is extremely difficult to fill.

    For the most part, there were few surprises in the first round.  And I honestly can’t criticize any of the picks.  The top five teams went with the best players available, while the second half of the round featured last year’s contenders fill holes and/or proceed with their successful draft strategies.

    The pace of the draft has been great so far too.  We’re already into the fifth round at the four day mark, so I’d say we are well ahead of schedule.  Keep up the good work!

  • American Dominance

    All-Star Game MVP Carlos Ruiz

    Just like the MLB All-Star Game on Tuesday, there was little drama in the DTBL All-Star Game on Thursday evening.  In the 19th annual mid-summer game, the American Division cruised to a 12-1 victory over their National Division counterparts.  The game even started eerily similar to the MLB game with Justin Verlander getting torched in the top of the first.  The National All-Stars didn’t record their first hit until the fifth inning.  Gators catcher Carlos Ruiz was named the MVP, going 3 for 3 with a home run and four runs knocked in.  The game was played at the Demidome, home of Dom’s Demigods.

    The game got off to an ominous start for the National Division with Verlander hitting Andrew McCutchen with the first pitch of the game.  McCutchen came around to score on a base hit by Jose Bautista.  David Wright followed with another RBI single.  Later in the inning, Ruiz got his big night started with a two run single to give the American team a quick 4-0 lead in the first.

    The American starting pitcher, Matt Cain, was far more effective.  He pitched two scoreless, hitless innings and was followed by David Price who pitched two innings without giving up a hit either.  Stephen Strasburg was the second pitcher into the game for the National squad, but he was only slightly more effective than Verlander.  He gave up a two run home run to Miguel Cabrera in the top of the second, which increased the American lead to six.  They were on cruise control from there, but were definitely not done scoring.

    In the top of the fifth, Cole Hamels came in to pitch for the National Division and promptly gave up extra base hits to the first three hitters he faced.  Doubles by Mark Trumbo and Ian Kinsler proceeded a two run home run by Ruiz.  Half way through the game, it was 9-0 American with the National All-Stars still looking for their first hit.  That hit finally came in the bottom of the fifth when Buster Posey hit a solo home run to end the no-hitter and shutout.

    The American Division still had more runs in them.  They scored three more in the top of the seventh to push the score to 12-1.  The big hit of the inning was a bases clearing three run double by Ryan Braun.  Neither team scored the rest of the way.  Craig Kimbrel finished things off in the ninth with a pair of strike outs, including one of A.J. Pierzynski to end mercifully end the game.

    There were plenty of offensive stars for the American Division, but Ruiz was the obvious choice for MVP.  Ruiz and Braun both had three hits and at least three RBIs (four for Ruiz).  Cabrera, Bautista and Kinsler each had multiple hits as well.  All told, the American All-Stars recorded 12 runs on 16 hits.  Meanwhile, the National team only recorded four hits, with Posey’s home run being the only hit by a National starter.  Jason Kipnis had a pair of hits off the bench.

    Cain and Price were the pitching stars of the game.  Although the OOTP box score credits Price with the win, that distinction actually belongs to Cain since we don’t have a minimum inning requirement for earning a victory in an All-Star Game.  Verlander took the loss.  The defensive star of the game was probably McCutchen.  He had six putouts in six innings in center field.  Interestingly, he made catches to end five of the six innings he played.

    As usual, the game was played using the Out of the Park Baseball simulation game.  For the second straight year, there was a live webcast of the game on LiveStream.  Check out the link below if you would like to watch the archived video.  Congrats to Jay for managing his team to an easy win and thanks for taking the time to take part in the game.  Here’s to an exciting second half!

    Box Score

    LiveStream Channel (with archived video)

  • Around the League

    Moonshiners savior R.A. Dickey

    We’re only in the last week of June, but I’m ready to declare that we have quite a pennant race brewing.  At no point has any team in the league asserted its dominance, thus leaving us with a situation where seven out of the ten teams are in a very good position to win the championship.  Those seven teams are all within 10 points of first place, with the top five separated by just four points.  Somehow, the Mavericks have managed to hold the top spot most of the year, but it has been by the thinnest of margins at most times, including today when they are just 1/2 point clear of the Jackalope.

    As we near the half way point of the season, I’m going to take a quick look at each of the ten teams, highlighting some of the key stories for each team.  I will start with the three teams who are not currently in the thick of the race and then work my way up to the top of the standings.

    Darkhorses

    Only a year and a half removed from four consecutive championships, it would be fair to say things have gone downhill since then.  While last year was a shocking disappointment for the Darkhorses, this season has been an absolute nightmare.  Injuries have been the story of the league this season, but no team has had their season completely ruined by injuries like the Darkhorses.  They sit in last place with just 18.5 points, so they are in serious jeopardy of breaking the league’s all time low water mark of 20 points since the league expanded to 10 teams in 1998.  If you look at their roster, there is no way they should be this bad.  Besides the injuries, incredibly disappointing seasons from Adrian Gonzalez and Tim Lincecum haven’t helped either.  If those guys can turn it around and Chris Carpenter, Jacoby Ellsbury and Brett Gardner return soon, maybe they can gain a little momentum and avoid a historically bad season.

    Gators

    Still a work in progress, and not really a threat this year, but things are looking up for the Gators.  Their ridiculously bad offense from ’11 has improved a bit and their pitching staff is respectable.  But there is still a lot of work to do.  Their huge pre-draft trade with the Mavericks hasn’t really worked out.  Nelson Cruz has been so-so and Mark Reynolds has provided virtually nothing.  They could have used those picks to improve in other areas, but what’s done is done.  The first draft pick they did make, Melky Cabrera in round three, has been a huge surprise, currently third in the league with a .355 average.  The Gators appear to be headed for another high draft slot next season.  With some exciting young players coming into the league again next year, maybe they will have an opportunity to grab one of them.

    Demigods

    The third team not currently in the title race is the Demigods.  At the beginning of the year, they looked like a team ready to make a run at the championship.  But like the Darkhorses, the Demigods have been sabotaged by injuries.  One in particular:  Matt Kemp.  In April, Kemp appeared to be a shoe-in for his second straight DTBL MVP award and a possible Triple Crown.  But since then, he has missed the better part of the last two months.  Who knows what he will provide when he returns?  But a healthy Kemp and Evan Longoria could get the Demigods back into contention.

    Cougars

    Although they are only in seventh place, this is the best Cougars team in a long time.  They are just 9.5 points behind the Mavericks and could get even closer if a couple of their pitchers turn things around.  Josh Hamilton has carried the offense, despite slowing down a bit of late.  Jason Kipnis has been one of the biggest steals of the draft, providing big time power and speed at a weak second base position.  Many were surprised when the Cougars passed on Stephen Strasburg with the first pick of the draft.  That may not have been a wise decision, but the Cougars made up for it by grabbing his Nationals teammate Gio Gonzalez in the second round.  Gonzalez’s numbers are pretty similar to Strasburg’s and you have to figure the Cougars would not have taken Gonzalez if they had gone with Strasburg in round one.

    Choppers

    The transformation of the Choppers has been quite remarkable.  Last year they were all offense with a questionable pitching staff.  This year, it is just the opposite.  They are second in the league with 40 pitching points, but only have 20 batting points.  One player is mostly responsible for the pitching turnaround:  Chris Sale.  Over the years, many teams have benefited from an extra starting pitcher in a relief pitching slot.  But normally, that pitcher doesn’t put up All-Star caliber stats like Sale is doing this year.  He’s keeping together a staff whose starting rotation is bandaged up with a bunch of free agent signings to fill in for other injured starters.  The injuries to the Choppers rotation could be a huge problem in the upcoming weeks/months.  But there is certainly reason to believe the offense will pick it up.  Jose Bautista is heating up, now in a tie for the league lead in home runs.  He could help the Choppers pick up some offensive points to move even closer to first place.

    Kings

    It is hard to say that a team four points out of first has been a huge disappointment, but to some degree, I think that can be said about the Kings.  The pitching staff has been atrocious as a whole.  They are ninth in the league in ERA and near the bottom in WHIP and wins too.  Justin Verlander needs some help.  Recently, the Kings have done a poor job of rotating their extra starting pitchers into the lineup.  In the last eight days, they missed out on a one hit shutout by Ervin Santana and seven great innings from Edwin Jackson last night.  If they could ever start picking the right five starting pitchers for a given week, they could be on to something.  For the most part, the offense has been great, leading the league in batting points.  But the lack of production from two Nationals, Ryan Zimmerman and Michael Morse, has been troubling.  The Kings are still in pretty good shape despite being in fifth place though.

    Naturals

    Much of what I wrote about the Choppers also applies to the Naturals.  They have transformed from an offensive juggernaut with a mediocre pitching staff to a team with a disappointing offense and the best pitching staff in the league.  Matt Cain, Zack Greinke and David Price have been outstanding for the Naturals rotation.  Jordan Zimmermann would be right there too if he would ever get run support and win some games.  The Naturals have to be considered one of the most dangerous teams heading into the second half because you  have to figure their offense will improve.  Having said that, the recent injury to Troy Tulowitzki could be extremely costly.  He’s expected to miss the next 6-8 weeks and they don’t have an obvious candidate to pick up the slack.

    Moonshiners

    The Moonshiners are perhaps the league’s most intriguing team right now.  They have suffered some very costly injuries to their pitching staff, with the most devastating one coming this past week when Brandon Beachy was lost for the season with a torn UCL.  Beachy was leading the league in ERA and had a sub 1.00 WHIP.  But one free agent signing may have saved their season.  Since joining the Moonshiners a month ago, R.A. Dickey has not allowed an earned run.  Read that again.  Dickey has a 0.00 ERA, 0.495 WHIP, four wins and 42 strike outs in just 34.1 innings with the Moonshiners.  The 37 year old knuckleballer has been the league’s best story this year and may have a huge say in determining if the Moonshiners can win their first DTBL championship.

    Jackalope

    It really can’t get any tighter at the top of the standings.  As of today, the defending champions sit one half point behind the Mavericks.  Batting points:  35.5 for the Mavericks, 35.0 for the Jackalope.  Pitching points:  both have 33.  So both teams are holding their own in batting and pitching.  The Jackalope got off to a bit of a slow start, but ever since their two biggest stars, Albert Pujols and Ryan Braun, have started to heat up, so has this team.  I think they have to be considered the favorites at this point, especially if they are able to get anything out of Ryan Howard in the second half.  Their dominating rotation from last year hasn’t been quite the same this season.  But Felix Hernandez has been better of late, Cliff Lee will eventually win a game and Roy Halladay should provide he boost when he gets healthy.  As long as they keep it close, I like their chances down the stretch.

    Mavericks

    This has been a pretty remarkable season for the Mavericks, following two consecutive eighth place finishes.  Despite the incredible tightness of the race, they have managed to hold onto first place most of the year.  Their strategy of stockpiling draft picks is paying off.  Their pre-draft trade with the Gators may alter the course of this league for years to come.  The two players they acquired with the draft picks they received in that trade:  Stephen Strasburg and Mike Trout.  Strasburg leads the league in strike outs and is not far behind in ERA, WHIP and wins too.  What the Nationals decide to do with him when he reaches that magical 160 IP mark could have a dramatic impact on this league.  I’ll probably write about this more when that date gets closer because I have a strong opinion on the matter.  Meanwhile, I’ll be honest, I thought Trout was a bit of a gamble in the early second round because I wasn’t so sure the Angels would be able to make room for him this season.  Boy was I wrong.  He is hitting .351 and will probably be leading the league in stolen bases before June is over.  If Adam Dunn, Edwin Encarnacion and Adam Jones keep hitting home runs at their current rates, the Mavericks are going to be tough to catch, despite all the teams nipping on their heels.

  • A Crowded Infirmary

    Choppers relief pitcher Mariano Rivera

    Memorial Day is usually a good point in the season to take stock in how the baseball season is going and examine where it may be headed.  As usual, there are hitters and pitchers who are vastly exceeding expectations, and have done so for long enough to make you think it may not be a fluke.  Some of those players are helping to put their DTBL teams at or near the top of the standings.  However, there seems to be a much bigger factor in determining a team’s success (or lack there of) this season:  injuries.

    Almost daily, there is another key player going down to an injury, whether it be a minor day-to-day issue, or one that has the player headed to season ending surgery.  We’ve had torn ACLs, torn UCLs, sprained knees, torn hamstrings, broken hands, blurred vision, chronic illness, you name it.  It started in spring training when two closers were lost for the season after undergoing Tommy John surgery (Naturals’ Joakim Soria, Jackalope Ryan Madson).  Two DTBL first round draft picks are yet to play a game this season (Kings’ Michael Morse, Choppers’ Michael Pineda).  It is never a good sign when two of the most mentioned names in baseball are Tommy John and Dr. James Andrews.

    Even the previously indestructible players are falling victim to this plague.  The surest thing in baseball, Choppers’ Mariano Rivera, tore his ACL while shagging fly balls.  And just yesterday, the always reliable Roy Halladay (Jackalope) was lost for 6-8 weeks due to a lat strain.  Halladay wasn’t the only ace to go down yesterday either.  Jered Weaver (Moonshiners) was pulled from his start in the first inning with a back problem.  Fellow Moonshiner starting pitcher Ted Lilly hit the DL as well, as did red hot Kings catcher Jonathan LuCroy who suffered the freakiest injury of the season, breaking his hand due to a falling suitcase in a hotel room.

    In those last two paragraphs, I named nine different players, and that didn’t even begin to scratch the surface.  Every DTBL team has been affected, some more than others.  I probably need to take a closer look at each roster to see if this is still the case, but prior to this most recent string of injuries, there were three teams in particular who had been absolutely decimated:  the Darkhorses, Choppers and Demigods.  All three are around the double digit mark in total number of players who have spent time on the DL, including some very critical losses.  I suspect the Moonshiners are moving close to this list as well after losing 40% of their rotation yesterday.  The Darkhorses injury problems were so bad, for a while they were fielding a major league roster with at least three disabled players.  The Choppers and Demigods minors are/were filled with virtually nothing but injured players.

    The Mavericks have been in first place virtually the entire season.  In large part, that is because they had been the healthiest team in the league.  Until about a week ago, their only injured player was 12th round draft pick, and projected bench player, Lorenzo Cain.  But now the Mavericks have joined the rest of the league after having lost Neftali Feliz and Austin Jackson.  Still, they are in better shape than most.  With the exception of two pre-season injuries (Madson and Ryan Howard), the Jackalope had been relatively healthy as well, which helped guide them past the Mavericks for a couple days last week.  But now this Halladay injury could be a major problem for the defending champions.

    On a positive note, these injuries have certainly restrained any one team from running out to a huge lead, keeping most of the league very much in the mix.  Half of the league is within 10 points of first place and two others are within 20.  So if any of these teams can get relatively healthy, there are plenty of points to be gained.  But that “healthy” term seems inconceivable for some teams at this point.

    It was suggested to me by one league member that we look into adding additional DL slot(s) to our rosters in the future.  I am not necessarily opposed to this idea, but keep in mind that such a change would require a number of other adjustments as well, like the total number of players on the league roster and maybe a change to the free agent signing limit too.  This is a conversation I’m willing to have though if the consensus is that change is needed.  Obviously, no change will be made for this season though.  In the mean time, hopefully some of this madness will come to an end and we’ll be able to determine a champion based on player performance rather than healthy body tallies.

    Hopefully my next article will be about player(s) who are actually contributing to their DTBL squads!

  • Choppers looking to break out from middle of pack

    Chris Sale, RP

    Projected Finish: Fifth                          2011 Finish: Sixth

    AVG: D                                                              W: B
    HR: B                                                                 ERA: B
    R: C                                                                   WHIP:B
    RBI: C                                                                K: A
    SB: C                                                                 SV: B
    Marc’s favorite draft pick: Brandon Morrow, SP, Round 4 – solid 200 K contributor

    Charlie’s favorite draft pick: Chris Sale, RP, Round 6 – Charlie has made a habit of drafting RP-eligible players who will start in the current year (Phil Hughes/C.J. Wilson in 2010, Tim Stauffer in 2011), and tall, skinny Sale could put up numbers better than any of them in those years

    Overview: The Choppers offense broke through in 2011 in a major way with outstanding seasons from Jose Bautista, Curtis Granderson and free agent pickup Alex Gordon, but outside of SVs and Ks, their pitching staff didn’t pull its weight.

    By taking SPs with three of their first four picks (Michael Pineda, Matt Garza and Morrow) as well as a starter with RP eligibility (Sale), the Choppers addressed their biggest need. However, the first-round selection of Michael Pineda was my least favorite of the three. Pineda had a good rookie year in Seattle, a pitchers haven, but he was shipped to the Yankees this year and will have to throw in New Yankee Stadium, where his 44.8 percent fly ball rate could lead to a spike in his 0.95 HR per 9 IP rate.

    The Choppers are putting a fair amount of faith in Mark Trumbo getting enough ABs to warrant being their only full-time 1B. However, if the Giants ever give Brandon Belt a real shot and he succeeds, he could prove to have been a great eighth-round pick this year.

    It was surprising to see the projection systems rank the Choppers’ offense in the middle of the DTBL pack. However, a strong set of OFs could make up for a more ordinary group of infielders.

    Choppers   dscx- Projected Finish: Fifth                          2011 Finish: Sixth
    AVG: D

    HR: B

    R: C

    RBI: C

    SB: C

    W: B

    ERA: B

    WHIP:B

    K: A

    SV: B
    Marc’s favorite draft pick: Brandon Morrow, SP, Round 4 – solid 200 K contributor

    Charlie’s favorite draft pick: Chris Sale, RP, Round 6 – Charlie has made a habit of drafting RP-eligible players who will start in the current year (Phil Hughes/C.J. Wilson in 2010, Tim Stauffer in 2011), and tall, skinny Sale could put up numbers better than any of them in those years

    Overview: The Choppers offense broke through in 2011 in a major way with outstanding seasons from Jose Bautista, Curtis Granderson and free agent pickup Alex Gordon, but outside of SVs and Ks, their pitching staff didn’t pull its weight.

    By taking SPs with three of their first four picks (Michael Pineda, Matt Garza and Morrow) as well as a starter with RP eligibility (Sale), the Choppers addressed their biggest need. However, the first-round selection of Michael Pineda was my least favorite of the three. Pineda had a good rookie year in Seattle, a pitchers haven, but he was shipped to the Yankees this year and will have to throw in New Yankee Stadium, where his 44.8 percent fly ball rate could lead to a spike in his 0.95 HR per 9 IP rate.

    The Choppers are putting a fair amount of faith in Mark Trumbo getting enough ABs to warrant being their only full-time 1B. However, if the Giants ever give Brandon Belt a real shot and he succeeds, he could prove to have been a great eighth-round pick this year.

    It was surprising to see the projection systems rank the Choppers’ offense in the middle of the DTBL pack. However, a strong set of OFs could make up for a more ordinary group of infielders.

    AVG: D

    HR: B

    R: C

    RBI: C

    SB: C

    W: B

    ERA: B

    WHIP:B

    K: A

    SV: B


    Marc’s favorite draft pick: Brandon Morrow, Round 4 – solid 200 K contributor

    Charlie’s favorite draft pick: Chris Sale, Round 6 – Charlie has made a habit of drafting RP-eligible players who will start in the current year (Phil Hughes/C.J. Wilson in 2010, Tim Stauffer in 2011), and tall, skinny Sale could put up numbers better than any of them in those years

    Overview: The Choppers offense broke through in 2011 in a major way with outstanding seasons from Jose Bautista, Curtis Granderson and Alex Gordon, but outside of SVs and Ks, their pitching staff didn’t pull its weight.

    By taking SPs with three of their first four picks as well as a starter with RP eligibility (Sale), the Choppers addressed their biggest need. However, the first-round selection of Michael Pineda was one of the picks I didn’t like. Pineda had a good rookie year in Seattle, a pitchers haven, but he was shipped to the Yankees this year and will have to throw in New Yankee Stadium, where fly balls turn to home runs.

    The Choppers are putting a fair amount of faith in Mark Trumbo getting enough ABs to warrant being their only full-time 1B. However, if the Giants ever give Brandon Belt a real shot and he succeeds, he could prove to have been a great eighth-round pick this year. The projection systems are down on the Choppers offense this year

  • A Veteran Wins DTBL ROY

    Choppers outfielder Jose Bautista

    Going into this year’s draft, the 2011 DTBL rookie class was not highly touted.  To make matters worse, several of the top youngsters picked in that draft proceeded to have very disappointing and/or injury-plagued seasons.  However, the rookie class turned out to be rather deep with a bunch of players taken after the first round easily exceeding expectations.  In the end, it was a “veteran” who won the 2011 DTBL Rookie of the Year Award.  The honor went to Choppers outfielder Jose Bautista.

    2011 was Jose Bautista’s eighth MLB season, but the first season in which he appeared on a DTBL roster, making him eligible for this award.  From 2004-2009, Bautista was little more than a platoon/role player in the outfield and at third base with virtually no fantasy value.  But in 2010, he broke out in a big way, slugging 54 home runs with 124 RBIs.  Those numbers immediately made him one of the most sought after players in this year’s draft.  The Choppers felt very fortunate to pick him up with the fourth pick in the draft.  Although he entered this season with many wondering if 2010 was a fluke, he did not disappoint.  He hit 43 home runs with 103 RBIs and 105 runs scored.  His .302 batting average surpassed his previous single season high by more than 40 points.  So while ’10 was his true breakout season, ’11 was the year he became a complete hitter and a legitimate superstar.  He managed to lead the DTBL in home runs in his very first season.  Finishing the season at age 30 made Bautista a very unusual “rookie”, but he is not the oldest DTBL ROY winner.  I believe that distinction belongs to Andres Galarraga who won the league’s first Rookie of the Year Award in 1994 at the age of 33.

    Bautista was a huge part of a vastly improved Choppers squad.  Although they finished the season in sixth place, the Choppers were in the hunt until the final month of the season and were much more competitive than they have been in recent years.  That is largely due to the significant power boost provided by Bautista and Curtis Granderson.  The slugging duo finished first and second in the league in home runs.  Both figure to be strong candidates for the MVP Award, which will be announced next week.  The Choppers finished in the top half of the league in all five offensive categories, a year after finishing in the bottom half in all except batting average.

    The depth of this year’s rookie class is very apparent after taking a glance at the award’s voting results.  American League Rookie of the Year Jeremy Hellickson was on the DTBL ballot as well, but did not receive a single vote.  Bautista won the award by garnering 7 of the 10 first place votes and a total of 87 points.  The runner up was Bautista’s Choppers teammate, relief pitcher Craig Kimbrel.  Kimbrel saved 46 games with a 2.10 ERA, 1.039 WHIP and an extremely impressive 127 strike outs.  He was named the National League Rookie of the Year earlier this week.  Kimbrel was a third round pick by the Choppers.  Since they traded away their second round pick, all the Choppers first two picks wound up doing was finish first and second in the DTBL ROY vote.  Kimbrel received the other three first place votes and accumulated 75 points.  Another closer came in third, the Jackalope’s John Axford, who matched Kimbrel’s 46 save total.  The only pitcher with more saves than these two DTBL rookies was Jose Valverde.  Axford received enough votes to get 37 points.  His Jackalope teammate, slugging outfielder Mike Stanton, finished fourth.  Stanton’s 34 home runs gave the champions just the kind of power threat they needed.  Just like the Choppers, the Jackalope struck gold in the first couple rounds of the draft.  Stanton was a first round selection and Axford was picked in the second round.  Rounding out the top five was yet another closer, the Moonshiners’ Drew Storen.  Storen saved 43 games.  The Kimbrel/Axford/Storen combination is about as good of a set of rookie closers as you will ever see.

    Click here to see the full voting results.

    The 2011 Cy Young Award winner will be announced this Friday and the DTBL Most Valuable Player will be named next Tuesday, November 22.