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  • 2015 DTBL All-Stars


    The first half of the 2015 DTBL season has been dominated by the Jackalope, so it is no surprise that they have been rewarded with a whole slew of All-Star selections.  In the last couple weeks, the Mavericks have reduced the Jackalope lead a bit, and many of the players responsible for that are on the list below as well.  Examining the full standings, the balance of power between the American and National Divisions seems relatively even.  The American squad boasts the first place squad, but two of the bottom three as well.

    As has been the case for the last several years, pitchers have continued to dominate all across the league.  The current league-wide ERA of 3.24 is well below the record full season low of 3.31, set just last year.  So it is not a huge surprise that some pitchers with incredibly strong resumes won’t be part of this year’s All-Star Game.  Just to name a few, Felix Hernandez, Jake Arrieta, David Price and Johnny Cueto didn’t make the cut.  Nor did some relievers with out-of-this-world numbers like Wade Davis and Dellin Betances.  Overall, the American Division seems to have the stronger pitching staff, but I’ll give a slight edge to the National Division on offense.

    The 22nd annual DTBL All-Star Game is tentatively scheduled for Sunday, July 19 at 9 p.m. EDT, 6 p.m. PDT.  Due to their top two finishes last season, Nick and Dom will be the managers for the All-Star squads.  Nick’s Naturals will be the host for the game, which will once again be played out using OOTP.  The managers were responsible for breaking all ties in the vote and for selecting the 23rd player on each roster. Here are the 2015 DTBL All-Stars.

    American Division

    Starters:

    • Pitcher – Dallas Keuchel, Moonshiners (1st All-Star appearance)
    • Catcher – Evan Gattis, Jackalope (2nd)
    • First Base – Paul Goldschmidt, Jackalope (3rd)
    • Second Base – Brian Dozier, Moonshiners (1st)
    • Third Base – Josh Donaldson, Jackalope (2nd)
    • Shortstop – Troy Tulowitzki, Naturals (4th)
    • Outfield – Nelson Cruz, Gators (3rd)
    • Outfield – Giancarlo Stanton, Jackalope (3rd)
    • Outfield – Starling Marte, Gators (1st)

    Reserves:

    • Catcher – Derek Norris, Choppers (1st)
    • First Base – Miguel Cabrera, Naturals (9th)
    • Second Base – Dee Gordon, Gators (1st)
    • Third Base – Nolan Arenado, Naturals (1st)
    • Outfield – Ryan Braun, Jackalope (6th)
    • Outfield – Brett Gardner, Jackalope (1st)
    • Pitcher – Sonny Gray, Jackalope (1st)
    • Pitcher – Gerrit Cole, Jackalope (1st)
    • Pitcher – Chris Sale, Choppers (4th)
    • Pitcher – Zack Greinke, Moonshiners (4th)
    • Relief Pitcher – Glen Perkins, Naturals (1st)
    • Relief Pitcher – Mark Melancon, Jackalope (1st)
    • Relief Pitcher – Huston Street, Gators (3rd)
    • Relief Pitcher – Zach Britton, Gators (1st)

    National Division

    Starters:

    • Pitcher – Max Scherzer, Kings (2nd)
    • Catcher – Buster Posey, Demigods (4th)
    • First Base – Albert Pujols, Mavericks (8th)
    • Second Base – Jose Altuve, Demigods (2nd)
    • Third Base – Todd Frazier, Darkhorses (2nd)
    • Shortstop – Hanley Ramirez, Mavericks (5th)
    • Outfield – Bryce Harper, Darkhorses (1st)
    • Outfield – Mike Trout, Mavericks (4th)
    • Outfield – J.D. Martinez, Demigods (1st)

    Reserves:

    • Catcher – Brian McCann, Darkhorses (3rd)
    • Second Base – Jason Kipnis, Cougars (3rd)
    • Third Base – Manny Machado, Mavericks (1st)
    • Outfield – Charlie Blackmon, Cougars (1st)
    • Outfield – Joc Pederson, Mavericks (1st)
    • Outfield – Lorenzo Cain, Mavericks (1st)
    • Pitcher – Chris Archer, Cougars (1st)
    • Pitcher – Jacob deGrom, Darkhorses (1st)
    • Pitcher – Clayton Kershaw, Mavericks (5th)
    • Pitcher – Madison Bumgarner, Cougars (3rd)
    • Relief Pitcher – Trevor Rosenthal, Demigods (2nd)
    • Relief Pitcher – Jeurys Familia, Kings (1st)
    • Relief Pitcher – Aroldis Chapman, Mavericks (2nd)
    • Relief Pitcher – Andrew Miller, Mavericks (1st)

    All-Stars per team:

    • 9 – Jackalope, Mavericks
    • 5 – Gators
    • 4 – Cougars, Darkhorses, Demigods, Naturals
    • 3 – Moonshiners
    • 2 – Choppers, Kings

    Miguel Cabrera and Lorenzo Cain were selected as the 23rd players for each roster.  The rosters feature 22 first time DTBL All-Stars, including an incredible group of young superstars like Bryce Harper, Joc Pederson, Sonny Gray and Chris Archer.  Over half of the American team will be making their DTBL ASG debuts.  Another interesting item is the number of All-Stars who were involved in trades just this past March:  Josh Donaldson, Gerrit Cole, Zack Greinke, Albert Pujols, Hanley Ramirez and Aroldis Chapman.  So all of these top performers are paying big dividends for their new squads.  Here are the full voting results.  Much more All-Star Game coverage will be coming soon.

  • Players of the Month: June


    June was another very good month for the Jackalope.  They maintained a healthy lead of near 20 points throughout the entire month.  They continue to lead the league in both batting and pitching points.  This is especially impressive since they haven’t exactly had a healthy roster at any point this season.  The latest injury will be their biggest challenge to date.  Giancarlo Stanton will miss at least a month with a broken hand.  A top MVP candidate prior to the injury, Stanton has been just one of several outstanding performers for the first place squad.  This injury might give other teams a little more hope though.

    Besides the Jackalope maintaining their comfortable lead, the other top stories of June involved a couple pitchers putting up historic runs of starts.  One led to a Pitcher of the Month honor, which I will get to in a bit.  But I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention Max Scherzer’s incredible run of three consecutive starts with a no-hitter (and near perfect game) sandwiched between two other near no-hitters.  Amazingly, that was not enough to earn Scherzer his second straight Pitcher of the Month award.  In fact, somehow, he didn’t even take home a Pitcher of the Week honor, despite being a hit batsman away from throwing a perfect game!  My method for selecting those honors makes it a near certainty that the weekly pitching award goes to the top starting pitcher who throws two quality starts in a week.  Unfortunately for Scherzer, those three starts came in separate weeks.  Anyway, it was a pretty impressive month for him.  Here are the weekly award winners from June:

    Batters of the Week:

    Week 9 (6/1 – 6/7) – Jose Bautista, Choppers
    Week 10 (6/8 – 6/14) – Giancarlo Stanton, Jackalope
    Week 11 (6/15 – 6/21) – Manny Machado, Mavericks
    Week 12 (6/22 – 6/28) – Nolan Arenado, Naturals

    Pitchers of the Week:

    Week 9 (6/1 – 6/7) – Chris Archer, Cougars
    Week 10 (6/8 – 6/14) – Chris Sale, Choppers
    Week 11 (6/15 – 6/21) – Anibal Sanchez, Kings
    Week 12 (6/22 – 6/28) – Collin McHugh, Cougars

    The races for the monthly awards were both extremely tight with a lot of deserving candidates narrowly missing.  Here are the award winners for June 2015:

    Batter of the Month:

    Nolan Arenado, Naturals
    .304 AVG, 12 HR, 33 RBI, 24 R, 0 SB, 2.57 PAR

    Pitcher of the Month:

    Chris Sale, Choppers
    1.83 ERA, 0.812 WHIP, 2 W, 0 SV, 75 K, 3.77 PAR

    You know the Naturals must have a pretty good infield when Troy Tulowitzki is only their second best Rockies infielder.  Nolan Arenado had an incredible month of June and finished with a flourish.  His 33 RBI easily led the league and were the most in a month since Miguel Cabrera had 34 last May.  Arenado just barely edged out a pair of Mavericks for this award:  Manny Machado and Albert Pujols.

    It is very hard to win the Pitcher of the Month award with only two wins in the month.  But when the rest of your numbers are setting records, you can overcome criminally poor run/bullpen support.  That’s what Chris Sale did in June.  He is currently riding an eight start streak of striking out at least 10 hitters.  He is only the second player in the past 100 years to accomplish such a feat.  His 75 strikeouts in 44.1 June innings looks like a misprint.  It is also a DTBL single month record, surpassing the 72 whiffs Pedro Martinez recorded in June of 1997.

  • Pair of Nats Win May Honors


    The season’s second month saw the Jackalope open a small lead over several close pursuers into a gigantic lead which could take an extended run of good fortune for other teams to close.  When the calendar turned to June yesterday, the Jackalope lead was 18 points over the Darkhorses.  Incredibly, no other team was within 28 points of first place.  Obviously, there is more than enough time for other teams to get back into the race.  But for now, the Jackalope are sitting pretty.

    Since I still haven’t gotten around to putting together the new awards pages where all of the weekly and monthly winners will be listed, here are the players who have been named the batters and pitchers of the week since last month’s update:

    Batters of the Week:

    Week 4 (4/27 – 5/3) – Josh Reddick, Naturals
    Week 5 (5/4 – 5/10) – Bryce Harper, Darkhorses
    Week 6 (5/11 – 5/17) – Bryce Harper, Darkhorses
    Week 7 (5/18 – 5/24) – A.J. Pollock, Kings
    Week 8 (5/25 – 5/31) – Josh Donaldson, Jackalope

    Pitchers of the Week:

    Week 4 (4/27 – 5/3) – Sonny Gray, Jackalope
    Week 5 (5/4 – 5/10) – Michael Pineda, Darkhorses
    Week 6 (5/11 – 5/17) – Max Scherzer, Kings
    Week 7 (5/18 – 5/24) – Cole Hamels, Demigods
    Week 8 (5/25 – 5/31) – Carlos Martinez, Mavericks

    Unlike last month, the award winners from May do appear on the lists above.  Here are the best of May 2015.

    Batter of the Month:

    Bryce Harper, Darkhorses
    .360 AVG, 13 HR, 28 RBI, 24 R, 2 SB, 2.87 PAR

    Pitcher of the Month:

    Max Scherzer, Kings
    1.67 ERA, 0.907 WHIP, 5 W, 0 SV, 56 K, 4.07 PAR

    Besides the Jackalope, there were two other unstoppable forces in the month of May, and both play for the Washington Nationals.  Darkhorses outfielder Bryce Harper had the best month of his young career on the way to winning Player of the Month.  Meanwhile, Kings ace Max Scherzer seems to be adjusting well in his return to the National League.  He is the Pitcher of the Month.  Neither of these awards were very closely contested.  Harper and Scherzer were almost indisputably the best two players in baseball in May and are certainly among the favorites for the MVP and Cy Young awards too.

    Only two players in DTBL history have met or exceeded Harper’s five monthly stat totals from above:  Barry Bonds in May of 2001 and Jeff Bagwell in June of 1994.  That’s some pretty exclusive company.

     

  • Memorial Day Awards Outlook


    Welcome to a slightly amended version of the 2015 DTBL Awards Outlook.  So as to differentiate the numbers and players I’m examining with what Kevin is doing, there will be three Awards Outlook articles this season.  This is the first; the second will follow at the All Star break, with the third at Labor Day.  These seem like reasonable benchmarks for the baseball season, landing on big holidays and milestones rather than doing it monthly.  Plus, this will allow Kevin to focus more on monthly aspects with his postings.

    That being said, these articles will focus on three things.  First, in a new addition, I’ll be listing the individual category leaders in all the hitting and pitching categories.  In this way, we can better track who’s been on point for an entire season, or if they’re more of a flash in the pan.  Second, I’ll be visiting the awards categories in the same fashion as last year, but instead of a top 5 ballot style listing, this year will focus only on the top two for each category.  Honorable mentions will go to players who are on the cusp, but can only knock on the door of being truly elite.  PAR and ESPN’s player rater will be relied upon as main benchmarks to set the awards leaders.

    Here are the DTBL category leaders through Memorial Day, 2015.

    • Batting Average: Dee Gordon, Gators – .376
    • Home Runs: Nelson Cruz, Gators – 17
    • Runs Batted In: Bryce Harper, Darkhorses – 41
    • Runs Scored: Bryce Harper, Darkhorses – 39
    • Stolen Bases: Dee Gordon, Gators – 17
    • Earned Run Average: Zack Greinke, Moonshiners – 1.48
    • WHIP Ratio: Zack Greinke, Moonshiners – .869
    • Wins: Felix Hernandez, Moonshiners – 7
    • Saves: Glen Perkins, Naturals – 16
    • Strikeouts: Corey Klueber, Demigods – 83

    Rookie of the Year:

    • Dallas Keuchel, Starting Pitcher, Moonshiners – .947 WHIP, 1.78 ERA, 5 W, 0 Sv, 39 Ks, 3.2 PAR
    • Jacob DeGrom, Starting Pitcher, Darkhorses – 1.114 WHIP, 2.75 ERA, 5 W, 0 Sv, 54Ks, 2.7 PAR

    Unlike last year, this year’s rookie crop doesn’t seem to be quite as strong overall.  Rookie pitchers definitely have an edge in this category over hitters, however, as exemplified by Dallas Keuchel and Jacob DeGrom.  DeGrom was a high draft pick, taken by the Darkhorses in the second round.  His stellar numbers were to be expected, and he is certainly not disappointing.  He adds another fine young arm to Darkhorses growing stable of them.  Keuchel, on the other hand, went undrafted.  He was the subject of a fierce free agent bidding battle after the first week of the season, and he has not disappointed the Moonshiners since, spinning a 9th overall pitching PAR after missing two starts during his time as a free agent.  He has settled in nicely as a very worthy third starter on the Moonshiners staff.

    Apologies go to Jake Arrieta of the Jackalope, Dellin Betances of the Mavericks, Marcus Semien of the Gators, and Brad Boxberger of the Darkhorses.

    Cy Young:

    • Max Scherzer, Starting Pitcher, Kings – .881 WHIP, 1.67 ERA, 5 W, 0 Sv, 72 Ks, 4.7 PAR
    • Felix Hernandez, Starting Pitcher, Moonshiners – .941 WHIP, 2.19 ERA, 7 W, 0 Sv, 63Ks, 4.6 PAR

    Cy Young is an extremely tight category at the top.  There’s separation between these two pitchers and the rest of the field, but very little separates Max Scherzer and Felix Hernandez.  King Felix has been everything the Moonshiners could ask for after a draft day trade, combining his usually stellar ratios with wins, unlike in seasons past.  He looks to maintain his place as the ace of a revamped Moonshiners staff for years to come.  Meanwhile Scherzer has rebounded from a “slow” start to the season, where a lack of run support led to some hard luck losses.  However, a move to the National League has worked wonders for his overall numbers, as the usual filthy strikeout numbers are now combined with ridiculous ratios.  This race will be one to watch for the entire season.

    Apologies go to Zack Greinke of the Moonshiners, Sonny Gray of the Jackalope, and Shelby Miller of the Kings.

    Most Valuable Player

    • Bryce Harper, Outfielder, Darkhorses – .333 Avg, 39 R, 16 HR, 41 RBI, 2 SB, 3.7 PAR
    • Paul Goldschmidt, First Baseman, Jackalope – .333 Avg, 34 R, 12 HR, 38 RBI, 8 SB, 3.6 PAR

    MVP may be an even tighter category between first and second place than even Cy Young.  Bryce Harper and Paul Goldschmidt do it all.  Goldschmidt provides a great blend of power (12 homers), speed (8 steals) and high average.  His continued journey into baseball’s elite is certainly a reason why the Jackalope felt comfortable parting with long time stalwart Albert Pujols during the draft.  Harper is finally tapping into his vast talent, playing at a level that finally meets the hype and Sports Illustrated covers.  He leads DTBL in runs and RBI, is one short in the home run category, and is also providing elite average.  Both players provide numbers that can carry any offense, have the Jackalope and Darkhorses sitting at the top of the DTBL standings, and can keep them there throughout the season.  Definitely the elite production that teams are looking for out of their superstars.

    Apologies go to Nelson Cruz of the Gators, Justin Upton of the Naturals, and Mike Trout of the Mavericks.

  • Players of the Month: April


    Welcome to a new monthly feature: the naming of a Batter and Pitcher of the Month. For some quick clarification, this is not the same thing as Mike’s monthly DTBL Awards outlook, which he has generously volunteered to do again this year. Those articles focus on cumulative performances of players throughout the season on the leading candidates for the three post-season awards. Look for his post-April review in the next couple days. Instead, this new feature is based solely on the stats accumulated in the month being reviewed. The Batter and Pitcher of the Month will be objectively selected as the players who accumulated the highest PAR for the month. I’m not going to write much about the award winners, especially this month, since Mike will probably cover the same guys in his article.

    In the near future, I’ll be posting a new page on the site which will list all of the yearly, monthly and weekly award winners. These honors will also eventually show up on the player pages. Behind the scenes, I’ve already been capturing Batter/Pitcher of the Week winners each week. Again, these winners are the players who accumulate the highest PAR during the week. Basically, they are the players who show up on the main page under “Week’s Best” after the Monday morning update. I’m not going to take the time to write articles for the weekly awards, but plan to do so for the monthly winners. FYI, here are the players who have won the Batter and Pitcher of the Week so far this year:

    Batters of the Week:
    Week 1 – Adrian Gonzalez, Darkhorses
    Week 2 – Nelson Cruz, Gators
    Week 3 – Mark Teixeira, Cougars

    Pitchers of the Week:
    Week 1 – Sonny Gray, Jackalope
    Week 2 – Jacob deGrom, Darkhorses
    Week 3 – Jake Arrieta, Jackalope

    Interesting enough, none of those players were the winners of the monthly awards. Here are the award winners for April 2015.

    Batter of the Month:
    Paul Goldschmidt, Jackalope
    .338 AVG, 5 HR, 20 RBI, 18 R, 5 SB, 1.65 PAR

    Pitcher of the Month:
    Felix Hernandez, Moonshiners
    1.82 ERA, 0.808 WHIP, 4 W, 0 SV, 36 K, 2.89 PAR

    It was a very tight race among the hitters. Goldschmidt barely edged out Adrian Gonzalez, Nelson Cruz and Jose Altuve. His combination of power and speed (5 HR, 5 SB) proved to be the difference. There were a whole bunch of pitchers who had great Aprils. Chris Archer was right there with Hernandez, with Gerrit Cole and Johnny Cueto not far behind.

  • 2015 Season Preview: Part IV


    Last year, the 2014 season previews predicted two teams would stand out above the rest.  That’s exactly what happened, but not the two that had been projected to do so (Kings and Mavericks).  It was the Naturals and Demigods who blew away the rest of the league en route to record setting finishes, with the Naturals squeaking out the title by 2 1/2 points.  This year figures to be much different with a lot more teams projected to be in the championship mix.  In part, that is because no one team looks overwhelmingly strong on paper.  Even the two teams who will be covered in this final part of the 2015 season preview have a few noticeable weaknesses.  But what makes these teams appear to be the top title contenders is that even those weaknesses still put them above average in both hitting and pitching, the only two teams that can say that.  These were two of the top three finishers a year ago, so it is not surprising to see them among the favorites again in 2015.  Here are the projected top two title contenders.

    Dom’s Demigods

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 2nd (2nd)
    • Home Runs – 5th (4th-T)
    • Runs Batted In – 2nd (1st)
    • Runs Scored – 3rd (3rd)
    • Stolen Bases – 4th-T (3rd)
    • Earned Run Average – 6th (1st)
    • WHIP Ratio – 6th (2nd)
    • Wins – 3rd (1st)
    • Saves – 6th (5th)
    • Strike Outs – 4th (1st)
    • Total Batting Points – 3rd (2nd)
    • Total Pitching Points – 4th (1st)
    • Total Points – 2nd (2nd)

    Summary:

    The Demigods were a surprise title contender a year ago, just barely missing out on their first league championship.  But this year, they won’t catch anyone by surprise.  This is the most complete team in the league.  The only thing keeping them from being the overall favorite is that their strength from a year ago, their rotation, does not appear to be nearly as strong this year.  Losing Yu Darvish to a torn UCL in spring training was a terrible blow to what was the best pitching staff in the league a year ago.  Also, Jose Fernandez doesn’t figure to return to action until mid-season either.  That still leaves them with an impressive trio of Corey Kluber, Johnny Cueto and Cole Hamels.  But they are going to need some great performances from other hurlers to keep up with the team below.  The bullpen is only average, but shouldn’t kill them.  The good news is the offense looks very strong again this year.  All of the pieces seem to fit and they do not have an obvious weakness among their everyday players.  Jose Altuve and Carlos Gomez were two of the best players in the league last year.  If Dustin Pedroia and Evan Longoria can bounce back from disappointing ’14 campaigns, they could challenge for the best offense in the league.  It is the overall strength of both the hitting and pitching that makes the Demigods one of the clear favorites this year.  They came oh so close to their first championship last year.  Perhaps this will be the year instead.

    Marc’s Mavericks

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 9th (4th)
    • Home Runs – 1st (1st)
    • Runs Batted In – 4th (3rd)
    • Runs Scored – 8th (4th)
    • Stolen Bases – 7th (8th)
    • Earned Run Average – 1st (4th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 1st (4th)
    • Wins – 5th (4th)
    • Saves – 1st (6th-T)
    • Strike Outs – 1st (2nd)
    • Total Batting Points – 5th (3rd)
    • Total Pitching Points – 1st (3rd)
    • Total Points – 1st (3rd)

    Summary:

    It is hard to know what to make of the Mavericks’ 2014 season.  On one hand, they were projected to finish near the top of the league after just barely missing out on a title in ’13 with a historically great pitching staff.  But on the other, it seemed they weren’t likely to duplicate that kind of season without their phenom pitcher Matt Harvey.  So their third place finish was pretty good, but it was the first time they weren’t in the title hunt until the final days of the season since 2011.  Now Harvey is back and they appear to once again have one of the strongest pitching staffs this league has ever seen.  Harvey, Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg on the same team seems unfair.  These projections have them winning the league in four of the five pitching categories, and nobody else is close in any of the four.  In addition to the ridiculously loaded rotation, they have the scariest collection of bullpen arms in the league too.  They traded for Aroldis Chapman and drafted Dellin Betances and Andrew Miller to join Cody Allen and Kenley Jansen.  Those guys all strike out hitters at such high rates that their strikeout totals look like those of starting pitchers.  If they stay even semi healthy, it would be hard to envision any other team coming close to them in strikeouts.  ERA and WHIP are less predictable, but they are heavy favorites there too.  Now for the bad news.  Their offense doesn’t appear to be elite.  Mike Trout is though, and he is on their roster.  So if he can get some help from the supporting cast, they ought to be good enough in the hitting categories to compliment their insane pitching staff on their way to the top of the standings.  Hard to believe it has been nine years since their last title, but there have been a bunch of close calls since then.  This looks like it could be the year the Mavericks win their third league title.

    Here are the full projected standings and team stat totals.  As I have hinted at throughout these previews, these projections show a very tight race from top to bottom.  Only the Demigods are projected for 30+ points in both batting and pitching, while every team but the Gators has 25+ points in one or the other.  So the Mavericks and Demigods appear to be a little bit better than the next six teams.  But it wouldn’t take much for almost any team to get into the mix.  As we saw last year, these projections are not to be trusted.  It should be a great season.

  • 2015 Season Preview: Part III


    Happy Opening Day!  The season kicked off last night in Chicago, but things get started for real across the country today.  This is the third of my four part preview of the 2015 DTBL season.  I hope to finish up the last part on Tuesday evening.  This third part takes a look at a pair of teams that have quietly been building very strong teams and should definitely be championship contenders this year.  But much like the teams covered in part two, these squads have an obvious strength and an apparent weakness which is keeping them a little bit behind the projected top two teams.  They will probably need to improve upon these projected numbers in those areas of weakness to win the league.  But they are close enough where that is a very realistic possibility.  Here are the teams predicted to finish in fourth and third place this season.

    Charlie’s Thunder Choppers

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 7th (6th)
    • Home Runs – 7th (3rd)
    • Runs Batted In – 9th (4th)
    • Runs Scored – 7th (2nd)
    • Stolen Bases – 9th (7th)
    • Earned Run Average – 2nd (6th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 2nd (6th)
    • Wins – 4th (2nd)
    • Saves – 3rd (8th)
    • Strike Outs – 2nd (5th)
    • Total Batting Points – 9th (4th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 2nd (5th)
    • Total Points – 4th (4th)

    Summary:

    Two years ago, the Choppers surprised a lot of people by finishing in third place.  Last year, they proved they belonged among the top teams in the league, despite falling to a fourth place finish.  This year’s projection shows more of the same, but also indicates this is a much different team than the one that finished fourth a year ago.  For one thing, it is strange to see a team that is projected to finish in the bottom four of all five offensive categories to still finish in the top half of the standings.  But the Choppers pitching staff appears to be one of the league’s best.  This was clearly the plan as they took pitchers with their first four picks in the draft.  Tyson Ross and Masahiro Tanaka are great additions to a staff that already included Chris Sale, Jon Lester and Alex Cobb.  There are some serious health concerns in this group, but if healthy, they will be one of the league’s best rotations.  The bullpen took a big hit yesterday when the Braves dealt Craig Kimbrel to the Padres, costing Joaquin Benoit his closer gig.  So don’t expect them to finish third in saves.  On offense, the numbers aren’t pretty, but this is still a very talented, veteran group.  Look for Anthony Rizzo to be the team’s MVP.  Jose Bautista should have another great year too.  Really, not a lot has changed from the team that finished fourth in offensive points a year ago.  They just don’t have the shiny new additions that some other teams do.  There are plenty of reasons for optimism in the Choppers camp this year.

    David’s Darkhorses

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 6th (7th)
    • Home Runs – 3rd (6th)
    • Runs Batted In – 3rd (6th)
    • Runs Scored – 2nd (6th)
    • Stolen Bases – 3rd (4th)
    • Earned Run Average – 5th (8th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 9th (9th)
    • Wins – 6th (6th-T)
    • Saves – 7th (10th)
    • Strike Outs – 6th (9th)
    • Total Batting Points – 4th (7th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 7th (10th)
    • Total Points – 3rd (8th)

    Summary:

    Probably the biggest surprise of these projections in the positive direction is the Darkhorses coming in third.  But these numbers are pretty good indicators of just how close all of these teams appear to be.  The Darkhorses somehow place third despite being fourth and seventh in projected batting and pitching points, respectively.  But all of those rankings would be significant improvements for the team that finished in eighth place a year ago and hasn’t finished in the top half of the league since winning the championship in 2010.  The Darkhorses look especially strong on offense.  The additions of Edwin Encarnacion (trade) and George Springer (3rd overall pick of the draft) gives them a pair of sluggers that they lacked in 2014.  Bryce Harper, Christian Yelich and Xander Bogaerts are three young returning players who could be primed for huge seasons too.  The pitching staff is still the weakness, but should definitely be better than last year’s squad which finished with the fewest pitching points in the league.  Jacob deGrom is the key newcomer.  Julio Teheran, James Shields and Lance Lynn are the best holdovers.  Not the most impressive staff on paper, of course, but this group should be good enough to put them into contention with their impressive offense.  Sorry about the terrible pun, but if you are looking for a darkhorse pick to win the 2015 DTBL championship, this is definitely your team.

  • 2015 Season Preview: Part II


    In the second part of our 2015 DTBL season preview, we’ll take a look at the teams projected to finish in fifth through seventh place in the standings.  But as I hinted at in the first part, this year’s projected standings show very little gap between teams, making the actual predicted place of finish of little consequence.  In particular, very little seems to separate these teams in the middle of the pack.  I’m not going to post the full projected standings until I finish all of the previews, but here’s a little bit of an idea of what it looks like:  only six points separate the third through seventh place teams.  So these teams just need to exceed the projections by a point or two here or there to move right into the championship hunt.  The three teams we’ll examine today all appear to be very strong in one half of the game (batting/pitching) but not so much in the other.  For one of these teams, this predicted landing spot would be a nice improvement over last year, while for another it would be a colossal disappointment.  We actually have a projected tie for sixth and seventh place, so let’s take a look at those teams now.

    Jay’s Jackalope

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 3rd (5th)
    • Home Runs – 2nd (4th-T)
    • Runs Batted In – 1st (5th)
    • Runs Scored – 1st (5th)
    • Stolen Bases – 6th (9th)
    • Earned Run Average – 9th (2nd)
    • WHIP Ratio – 8th (3rd)
    • Wins – 7th (6th-T)
    • Saves – 10th (9th)
    • Strike Outs – 9th (4th)
    • Total Batting Points – 1st (6th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 10th (4th)
    • Total Points – 6th-T (5th)

    Summary:

    No team has transformed itself more since the end of last season than the Jackalope.  And boy is that change evident in these projections.  For years, the Jackalope have fielded one of the best pitching staffs in the league.  On offense, they have been up and down, which has been reflected in their place in the standings each year.  But they have made a philosophical adjustment to build their team around more predictable and durable hitters instead of pitchers with limited shelf lives.  Gone are their best starting and relief pitchers, Felix Hernandez and Aroldis Chapman.  In are Anthony Rendon, Adam Jones and a crew of younger pitchers.  Amazingly, the Jackalope are projected to improve in all five offensive categories and take a step backwards in all five pitching categories.  The end result is a predicted finish of sixth, down a spot from last year.  But I think the Jackalope are okay with this.  They’ll take their chances with Jake Arrieta and Gerrit Cole possibly becoming the next great Jackalope pitchers.  Short term, they have some injury concerns that could make things difficult early in the season.  Another young pitcher, Zack Wheeler, is already out for the season following Tommy John surgery, which happened not long after they drafted him.  Rendon’s knee injury shortly after they traded for him is also a cause for concern.  But if they can keep most of the rest of the roster healthy, they could have the best offense in the league and will be an exciting team to watch.

    Nick’s Naturals

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 1st (1st)
    • Home Runs – 4th (2nd)
    • Runs Batted In – 5th (2nd)
    • Runs Scored – 4th (1st)
    • Stolen Bases – 2nd (2nd)
    • Earned Run Average – 10th (3rd)
    • WHIP Ratio – 10th (1st)
    • Wins – 9th (5th)
    • Saves – 4th (1st)
    • Strike Outs – 7th (3rd)
    • Total Batting Points – 2nd (1st)
    • Total Pitching Points – 9th (2nd)
    • Total Points – 6th-T (1st)

    Summary:

    Woah!  I have a lot to say here.  First, it is very interesting that the Jackalope and Naturals are projected to tie in the standings because they are built very similarly.  Both look great on offense with questionable pitching.  But hold on a second… the Naturals are the defending champions!  How are they projected to fall all the way to a sixth place tie?  It’s starting to look like my methodology has an inherent bias against the Naturals.  Prior to winning the league last year, they were picked to finish tied for fifth.  So obviously, this prediction isn’t a death knell for them.  They have made some pretty significant changes for a defending champion though.  Zack Greinke and Anthony Rendon are gone.  They have also been hurt by position switches with Victor Martinez no longer being able to put up MVP caliber numbers from a catching slot and Rendon switching from 2B to 3B prior to being traded.  But make no mistake, this is still a championship caliber team.  Yasiel Puig is the most exciting addition.  But they also drafted a ton of young players with bright futures.  These projections really don’t care for their starting rotation, but you have to figure Carlos Carrasco, Garrett Richards and Drew Hutchison all have great chances to exceed these numbers.  Another wild card is Aaron Sanchez, who will give the Naturals a sixth starting pitcher from a RP slot.  So you should immediately expect them to beat these win and strikeout predictions.  If Sanchez doesn’t kill the ERA/WHIP, it is hard to imagine them finishing last in both of those categories too.  On offense, a team with Miguel Cabrera, Andrew McCutchen and Troy Tulowitzki is nearly a lock to be one of the best squads in the league.  I am betting WAY over a 6th place tie for the Naturals.  A repeat championship is more likely than them finishing here.

    Kelly’s Cougars

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 8th (10th)
    • Home Runs – 8th (10th)
    • Runs Batted In – 8th (10th)
    • Runs Scored – 6th (10th)
    • Stolen Bases – 8th (10th)
    • Earned Run Average – 3rd (5th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 3rd (5th)
    • Wins – 1st (3rd)
    • Saves – 5th (6th-T)
    • Strike Outs – 3rd (8th)
    • Total Batting Points – 8th (10th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 3rd (6th)
    • Total Points – 5th (10th)

    Summary:

    The last team in this section is basically the polar opposite of the two above.  The Cougars have very good pitching with suspect bats.  In fact, the offense was so bad last year that they finished dead last in all five hitting categories, which torpedoed their season.  I feel like I say this every year, but the Cougars probably have the most underrated pitching staff in the league.  That appears to be the case again this year.  So with an improved offense, it would not be unreasonable to predict them to jump from last place to the top half of the league.  The main reason for optimism with the offense is the addition of Jose Abreu with the first pick in the draft.  Immediately, he becomes their best offensive player and could single-handedly make sure they don’t finish last in all of the offensive categories again, if he is able to come close to repeating his impressive rookie season.  Their first four picks were all hitters, so Abreu won’t be asked to burden all of the load.  The pitching staff is still the strength though.  Adam Wainwright and Madison Bumgarner lead the charge, but Gio Gonzalez, Hyun-Jin Ryu and Chris Archer are pretty good too.  And newcomers Collin McHugh and Mike Fiers provide impressive rotation depth.  The bullpen is solid too with closers David Robertson, Drew Storen and Jake McGee who add a lot in other categories in addition to saves.  A fifth place finish would be a nice improvement for the Cougars and seems very possible.

  • 2015 Season Preview: Part I


    The 2015 baseball season is almost upon us, so it is time to take a look inside the crystal ball to see how this season will turn out.  Actually, there may be no need for that.  Back to the Future II already has this covered.  As foretold in that movie, the Cubs will end their 107 year championship drought by winning the 2015 World Series.  Of course, the movie depicted Miami as the World Series losers, so one can only assume the Marlins will get shipped to the AL at some point this season as Commissioner Manfred’s first highly controversial decision in office.  But since the movie didn’t touch on results from random fantasy leagues, I will once again preview the upcoming DTBL season using a set of stat projections.

    Check out my post from two years ago for a description of the methodology used to create these projections.  Nothing has changed here.  Once again, I’m using ZiPS projections for all stat categories except saves (Steamer).  Stat projections for all 28 players currently on each team’s roster are used, except for a couple of cases where a player has already been ruled out for the season with an injury.  While all players are included, the team totals are scaled to match the regular roster size of 14 hitters and 9 pitchers.  So even your late round draft picks who you may hope to leave on the bench all season do play a role in these projections.

    Two years ago, the projections wound up providing a very accurate picture of how the season would play out, with most teams closely meeting their predicted place of finish.  Last year, not so much.  The Kings were projected to repeat as champions, but instead needed a late season rally to avoid finishing dead last.  Meanwhile, the team that actually won the league, the Naturals, were projected to finish tied for fifth.  So take all of this with several huge grains of salt.  It should provide an interesting look at the relative strengths and weaknesses of each team though.  Without further ado, here are the three teams projected to finish at the bottom of the standings this year.

    Greg’s Gators

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 5th (9th)
    • Home Runs – 10th (8th)
    • Runs Batted In – 10th (9th)
    • Runs Scored – 10th (9th)
    • Stolen Bases – 1st (6th)
    • Earned Run Average – 8th (7th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 7th (7th)
    • Wins – 10th (9th)
    • Saves – 2nd (3rd)
    • Strike Outs – 10th (10th)
    • Total Batting Points – 7th (9th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 8th (8th)
    • Total Points – 10th (9th)

    Summary:

    Well, somebody has to be last.  One thing I should point out is that the stat projections have all of these teams at the bottom finishing with far more points than they accumulated last year, with a much smaller gap between the top and bottom teams.  So the Gators aren’t really as far from being a contender as these projections might lead you to believe.  They do have a similarly constructed squad to last year though.  They are a team of speedsters with a strong bullpen.  They lack power and do not have an obvious ace in their starting rotation.  Michael Wacha and Alex Wood are a pair of guys who could assume that role this year though.  Perhaps the player they will count on above all others to exceed this projection is last year’s first round pick, Wil Myers.  Myers had a disappointing DTBL rookie campaign and will look to legitimize his spot on the roster this year.  This is a very young team so there are plenty of breakout candidates.  Clearly, they are going to need several guys to do so, particularly in the power categories, to become a contender.  While the bullpen is a strength, that saves projection may be a little generous since Steamer has free agent Rafael Soriano pegged at 21 saves.

    Mike’s Moonshiners

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 10th (8th)
    • Home Runs – 9th (7th)
    • Runs Batted In – 6th (7th)
    • Runs Scored – 5th (8th)
    • Stolen Bases – 10th (5th)
    • Earned Run Average – 4th (9th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 5th (10th)
    • Wins – 8th (6th-T)
    • Saves – 8th (2nd)
    • Strike Outs – 5th (6th)
    • Total Batting Points – 10th (8th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 5th-T (7th)
    • Total Points – 9th (7th)

    Summary:

    The Moonshiners are one of several teams that attempted to reshape their roster through big March trades.  For years, they have been a little short of a championship contender, largely because they lacked ace pitchers who could carry the staff to the top of the standings in most pitching categories.  But now they have Felix Hernandez and Zack Greinke, two of the best pitchers in baseball.  Not surprisingly, their pitching projections are much stronger this year as a result.  However, the overall prediction is not great because the offense appears to have taken a step backwards, and the offense wasn’t great as it was.  Gone is Josh Donaldson, who was one of their few bright spots a year ago.  But a healthy Prince Fielder could be just what the doctor ordered.  Rookie Jorge Soler will be asked to provide an immediate power boost as well.  On the pitching side, the projections are so-so for a much improved staff.  But if the offense is at least a little better than predicted, Hernandez and Greinke could help lead the Moonshiners back into contention.

    Kevin’s Kings

    Category – Projected Rank (2014 Rank)

    • Batting Average – 4th (3rd)
    • Home Runs – 6th (9th)
    • Runs Batted In – 7th (8th)
    • Runs Scored – 9th (7th)
    • Stolen Bases – 4th-T (1st)
    • Earned Run Average – 7th (10th)
    • WHIP Ratio – 4th (8th)
    • Wins – 2nd (10th)
    • Saves – 9th (4th)
    • Strike Outs – 8th (7th)
    • Total Batting Points – 6th (5th)
    • Total Pitching Points – 5th-T (9th)
    • Total Points – 8th (6th)

    Summary:

    The last three years, the projections have loved the Kings.  But then last season happened and the entire narrative of this franchise changed.  No longer are they a powerhouse with a bunch of the best players in the league.  Now they are a squad with aging stars and very little to hang their hats on.  To be fair, part of the reason why they do not project well this year is because so many of their players are coming off injury plagued seasons.  As a result, those players are projected to play less than full seasons again this year.  And that causes the full team projection to come in with far fewer total at bats than any other team.  Presumably, even if those players don’t stay healthy, they will be replaced by guys who are.  So the Kings offensive counting stat projections may be a little low.  Nonetheless, they do not look like a contender this year.  But they do have a couple very interesting young players who could be part of future Kings’ contending squads.  Their first two draft picks, outfielders Mookie Betts and Gregory Polanco, have a ton of upside.  The pitching staff is a major question mark with Max Scherzer being the only dependable pitcher on the squad.  This could be a bit of a transition year for the Kings, but it is hard to imagine them suffering through injuries to the extent they did in ’14. 8th place would be a pretty disappointing finish for them.

  • Blockbuster Trades Steal Show


    The 23rd annual DTBL Draft began a week ago Thursday. The beginning of the draft always brings plenty of intrigue. But this year, the early rounds were mostly overshadowed by a string of trades that were completed over the first few days of the draft. In total, seven trades were made in four days involving six different teams. And for the most part, these weren’t minor deals involving role players and draft pick swaps. Several of the league’s biggest stars are now on new teams. Some of these trades indicate new philosophical directions for entire franchises.  But before I get to the details of all of those trades, I don’t want the first round picks to feel left out.  So I’m going to do my usual first round recap first.  There were plenty of interesting picks made there too.

    Some years there is a fairly obvious player available for the team with the first pick in the draft.  Other years, there are several strong candidates for that slot.  This year was the former.  In what should have been a surprise to nobody, the Cougars used the first pick in the draft to select White Sox slugging first baseman Jose Abreu.  The Cuban star made his MLB presence felt immediately in the MLB.  He slugged 36 homers with 107 RBI and a .317 average on his way to winning the AL Rookie of the Year award.  Not bad for a guy adapting to a new league, not to mention a new country.  Abreu is the second straight Cuban player to be picked first in the DTBL Draft, following Yasiel Puig a year ago.  The Cougars badly needed an offensive boost after finishing last in all five categories a year ago, further making Abreu the obvious choice.  Really the only slight negative about him is that he is 28 years old.  That makes him the oldest first overall pick since the expansion Naturals took Jeff Bagwell back in 2002.  Curtis Granderson was just a couple months younger when the Choppers picked him in 2009.  Nonetheless, Abreu profiles as a guy who should help the Cougars for many years to come.

    After Abreu came a string of four straight young outfielders with big upside.  With the second pick, the Gators selected the most established of the four when they picked up Corey Dickerson.  The Rockies slugger hit .312 with 24 home runs in his breakout season of 2014.  Playing half his games in Coors Field makes it easy to believe those numbers could get even better with a full season of playing every day.  Next, the Darkhorses selected George Springer of the Astros who displayed his immense power by hitting 20 home runs in his rookie year in fewer than 300 at bats.  He has five tool potential if he can cut down on his strikeouts a bit.  With the fourth pick, the Moonshiners took one of the bevy of up-and-coming Cubs superstars, Jorge Soler.  Somewhat overshadowed by a couple of those other Cubs prospects, Soler is the one who has already proven his worth at the big league level putting up solid numbers after his late season promotion last year.  Finally, the Kings used the fifth pick on another outfielder with big potential, Mookie Betts.  Betts can do it all.  His only current obstacle is a crowded Red Sox outfield, but you would think they will find a way to get him in the lineup one way or another.

    The Jackalope ended the string of outfielders by going with the draft’s first pitcher with pick number six.  They selected Cubs hurler Jake Arrieta, who broke out in a big way last season.  This was not a surprising selection on the heels of the trade the Jackalope made immediately prior to the pick, which I will get to in a bit. Arrieta figures to be a major part of their rebuilt rotation.  The Choppers also took a pitcher in the seventh spot, selecting Tyson Ross.  The Padres pitcher had an outstanding season a year ago, but didn’t garner a ton of attention.  That should change this year thanks to the revamped Padres lineup.

    As is their custom, the Mavericks were able to pick up an extra first round selection in a deal with the Demigods.  So they had two consecutive picks late in the first round.  They used those picks to draft Yankees relief pitcher Dellin Betances and Cubs shortstop Javier Baez.  These were both high risk/reward picks.  Betances put up ridiculously strong numbers out of the bullpen last year, but his value in fantasy depends largely on whether or not he will be a closer this year.  That seems likely, but he hasn’t been officially handed the job.  He can help the Mavericks in ERA, WHIP and K’s though, even if they go a different route (especially since they picked the other leading Yankees closer candidate later, Andrew Miller).  Baez is about as big of a risk/reward pick as you can get.  On one hand, he has immense power that could blow away all other middle infielders on the board.  But on the other, he has shown no plate discipline at all at the big league level and could easily wind up in AAA.  Of course, the Mavs have plenty of other players ready to fill that spot if Baez doesn’t pan out.  Finally, the defending champion Naturals finished the first round by selecting another good, young pitcher in Carlos Carrasco.  Slightly overshadowed by Indians teammate Corey Kluber last year, Carrasco could become a Cy Young candidate himself this year if he pitches like he did in ’14.

    So that first round was all well and good, but it was most certainly NOT the biggest story of the past ten days.  There were four huge trades made on the first day of the draft before Abreu was selected with the first pick.  Then three more major deals were completed before two rounds were in the books.  These trades range from championship contenders looking to solidify their rosters, to second tier teams trying to plug major holes, to major franchise overhauls.  It is difficult to pinpoint which teams will be the big winners and losers from these deals, but one thing is for sure:  the players/picks involved in these trades will play a major role in determining how teams finish this year.

    The first domino to fall was the Naturals trading Zack Greinke and their fifth round pick to the Moonshiners for Wilson Ramos and a second round pick.  Star pitchers being dealt was a big theme of the week and Greinke was the first.  The Moonshiners badly needed an ace to anchor a rotation that hasn’t really had a standout performer in recent years.  Greinke held that ace title for the Moonshiners for about a day.  The Naturals needed a catcher to fill the crucial spot held by Victor Martinez last year.  They used that early second round pick to select Garrett Richards, who they will count on to replace Greinke.  This is the second time Greinke has been involved in a major March trade.  The Naturals acquired him from the Jackalope in 2011 in a deal that saw Ryan Howard go the other way.  Greinke had four tremendous seasons for the Naturals and should be a major piece of the future for the Moonshiners as well.

    The next trade was something you don’t usually see in March:  a one-for-one trade of star pitchers with no other picks or pieces involved.  The Mavericks traded their first round pick from a year ago, young starting pitcher Gerrit Cole, to the Jackalope for one of the best closers in the league, Aroldis Chapman.  This was the first of many changes for the Jackalope, who felt the need to get younger, particularly in the rotation with ailing veteran Cliff Lee’s season being in jeopardy.  Meanwhile, Chapman (along with first round pick Betances) give the Mavericks an almost unfair bullpen full of fireballers.  Their rotation isn’t too shaby either.  If I had to pick one team as a lock to win one category this year, it would be the Mavericks and strikeouts.  Barring injury, they look pretty solid in the other four pitching categories too.

    As it turns out, the Cole/Chapman deal was just a precursor to a couple more one-for-one deals involving superstars.  The Jackalope immediately turned around and dealt their first overall pick from a year ago, Yasiel Puig, to the Naturals for third baseman Anthony Rendon.  This would have looked like an insane trade a year ago considering the Naturals nabbed Rendon in the sixth round.  But he was quietly one of the most valuable players in the league last year and plays a much more difficult position to fill.  Of course, his switch from second to third created a bit of a problem for the Naturals who were already loaded at the corners.  Unfortunately for the Jackalope, Rendon wound up injuring his knee right around the time this deal was made, which was part of a pretty tough week of injury news for their squad.  However, Rendon’s injury isn’t considered to be too serious, but will be worth watching as the season approaches.  Meanwhile, the Naturals are happy to have Puig and hope he can bounce back from a slightly disappointing season a year ago.  He clearly has major talent and big upside at his young age.

    The final pre-draft trade skewed a little older.  The Mavericks dealt slugging first baseman Edwin Encarnacion to the Darkhorses for shortstop Hanley Ramirez.  The Darkhorses acquired one of the most consistent power sources in recent years while the Mavericks picked up a power source of their own at a premium position.  This figures to be Ramirez’s last year at shortstop though since the Red Sox plan to play him in the outfield.  Only Marc knows for sure, but I’m not positive this deal would have happened had they known they would be able to pick Baez in the draft.  As it currently stands, the Mavericks have five middle infielders and dealing Encarnacion temporarily left them without a first baseman.  But that is a much easier position to fill than 2B/SS.  The Darkhorses are hoping two ex-Mavs players will help boost their power output.  They also drafted former Maverick Carlos Santana.

    The start of the draft did not end the flurry of trades.  Halfway through the first round, a deal was made that somehow managed to exceed the four I just detailed in terms of star power.  The Jackalope traded arguably the second best pitcher in baseball, Felix Hernandez, along with Ian Kennedy to the Moonshiners for third baseman Josh Donaldson and a fourth round pick.  Suddenly, the Moonshiners pitching problems were a thing of the past.  The additions of Hernandez, Greinke and Kennedy is about as big of a rotation upgrade as a team can realistically make.  Despite only being 28 years old, King Felix is already 10th on the DTBL’s all-time strikeout list.  He was a workhorse for the Jackalope in his nine seasons with them, pitching at least 180 innings every season and has struck out over 200 batters in six consecutive seasons.  He will be reunited with two other former Jackalope rotation-mates with the Moonshiners:  Greinke and Jered Weaver.  This signals a huge overhaul for the Jackalope who have been slightly burned in recent years by deteriorating health of their once invincible pitching staff.  Roy Halladay and now Cliff Lee seem to have been lost without getting anything in return.  They elected to make sure the same thing didn’t happen with Hernandez.  The Jackalope rotations of about five years ago were some of the best collection of pitchers this league has ever seen.  But now all are gone, except for Lee, who may never pitch again.  Oh yeah, almost forgot to mention that the Jackalope acquired Donaldson who was the Moonshiners first round pick a year ago.  Donaldson had a huge DTBL rookie campaign and could be in for even more now that he has moved to hitter friendly Toronto.

    The next trade was of the more traditional draft day variety.  The Mavericks did what they do best, acquired an extra first round pick from the Demigods in exchange for second and third round picks.  As already mentioned, the Mavericks used that extra pick to acquire Javier Baez following their own selection of Dellin Betances.  As for the Demigods who probably had as few holes to fill as any team entering this draft, they moved down and took outfielder J.D. Martinez with that pick acquired from the Mavericks.  The third round pick turned into relief pitcher Santiago Casilla.  Interestingly, that second round slot was actually a pick they had previously traded to the Mavericks in a deal last May.

    Finally, the Jackalope had one more superstar to trade away.  They dealt franchise icon Albert Pujols to the Mavericks along with a third round pick for Adam Jones.  A couple years ago, trading away Pujols AND a pick for Jones would have been preposterous.  But Pujols is clearly on the downside of his career and is not the perennial MVP candidate that he was for most of his career.  He is the Jackalope franchise leader in home runs, RBI and runs, all by very comfortable margins.  He spent 13 remarkable seasons with the franchise.  So trading him away couldn’t have been easy.  The Jackalope will have a much different look in 2015 without Prince Albert and King Felix.  Adam Jones is no slouch though.  He has hit 25+ homers each of the past four years and has become one of the most consistent outfield contributors in the league.  As for the Mavericks, this deal was mostly about plugging that hole left by the departure of Encarnacion.  Although Pujols isn’t the hitter he once was, by normal standards of judging players, he’s still one of the better first basemen in the league.  If he stays healthy, he should have several more big seasons in him.

    So that sums up the first round of the draft and the seven deals that have been made so far this month.  It has been a well paced draft as we currently sit at the end of the eighth round with still two full weeks before the start of the season.  Thanks to everyone for keeping it moving and good luck with the remainder of the draft.